Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
This prediction market asks whether the official CME settlement price for the active-month Gold (GC) futures contract will reach or exceed $6,000 on any trading day by the final trading day of December 2026. Traders use it to gauge the market-implied odds of an extreme gold rally over the next two years. The market resolves based on CME settlement data for the front-month active contract, not spot gold prices.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,638.
Categories: COMEX Gold Features, Finance, Commodities, Gold
Notable Trades
77% win-rate macro bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 77% win rate bought No in a relatively quiet gold target market, making this a modest but followable signal despite the small size.
- This wallet has bet across 246 markets and wins 77% of the time on 991 resolved trades
- They bought No at 59¢ in a market with only $3,992 of 24-hour volume, so this order was meaningful relative to recent activity
- Gold would need an extreme move to reach $6,000 by December 2026, and this bettor is paying 59¢ for the opposite view
$1,638 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0xa9fe...f135 — Yes, $28,313 (67% win rate)
- 0x4d3e...783b — No, $12,128
- 0xc553...07f3 — Yes, $12,049
- 0xcb4b...b3f4 — No, $7,391
- 0xff16...7511 — No, $5,044
- 0xcaab...24dd — No, $4,941
- 0xbf21...be19 — No, $4,680
- 0x8768...dd9b — No, $4,678
- 0x7277...ab80 — Yes, $3,761
- 0xd8fa...5580 — No, $3,212
