Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?
4 signals across 1 market · $15,925 tracked · resolves Jul 27, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket prediction-market odds for who will be the apparent Maine Democratic nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate race on July 27. The active market focuses on whether Troy Jackson will be the nominee if Graham Platner withdraws or is otherwise replaced, with PolySpotter tracking smart-money activity such as recent Yes buying from an 82% winner.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Three-wallet Yes momentum
Three wallets are adding Yes exposure into strong upward momentum on a niche political market, including a high-volume cross-market bettor with positive lifetime P&L.
$6,799Score: 5.6 - 82% winner buying Yes
Proven profitable political cross-market trader with an 82% long-run win rate is buying Yes after recent upward momentum.
$2,283Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.4 - 82% winner buying Yes
Proven profitable political cross-market trader with an 82% long-run win rate is buying Yes after recent upward momentum.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.4 - Profitable serial cross-market trader
Moderately interesting because a profitable serial cross-market trader with a large historical footprint is buying Yes on a politics market, though the trade size is not especially large versus market volume.
$4,844Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 3.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x7bc141…8db4$4,844 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0xc7e53a…2d3a$4,283 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 82% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Troy Jackson becomes the Maine Democratic Senate nominee?
The odds are reflected in the event’s Polymarket market for whether Troy Jackson will be the apparent Maine Democratic nominee on July 27. PolySpotter also tracks smart-money signals around that market, including recent Yes-side buying from a trader with an 82% win rate.
What is the smart money doing in this Maine Senate nominee market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,283 in smart money across this event, with one recent signal showing an 82% winner buying Yes on Troy Jackson. That suggests at least one historically successful trader is positioning for Jackson as the nominee outcome.
When does this Maine Democratic nominee market resolve?
The event is set to resolve based on who is the apparent Maine Democratic Party nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59 PM ET.
Why does Graham Platner matter for this prediction market?
The market rules say Graham Platner is considered the apparent nominee unless he withdraws, voluntarily or otherwise. Troy Jackson’s path in this market depends on whether Platner is replaced before the July 27 deadline.
Where can I track Maine Democratic Senate nominee prediction-market odds?
You can follow this event hub on PolySpotter to see Polymarket odds, child market pricing, and smart-money alerts for Maine’s Democratic Senate nominee race.