When does this market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve based on the apparent Maine Democratic U.S. Senate nominee on July 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

What would make the market resolve Yes?

The market would resolve Yes if Troy Jackson is determined to be the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election at the resolution time.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking?

PolySpotter currently tracks $6,799 in smart money exposure and 1 smart money signal for this market, with recent alerts including Yes momentum and winner buying Yes.

Part of: Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?

Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Q: What is the Troy Jackson Maine Senate nominee prediction market about?

This market predicts whether Troy Jackson will be the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election as of July 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

Q: How does Graham Platner affect this market?

According to the market rules, Graham Platner is considered the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If that changes, the market looks to who is the apparent nominee on July 27.

This prediction market asks whether Troy Jackson will be the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27, 2026. It centers on whether Graham Platner remains the apparent nominee or withdraws before the relevant party replacement deadline. PolySpotter is tracking $6,799 in smart money and 1 smart money signal for this market.

If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET. This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed. In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,925.

Categories: Graham Platner, maine, Midterms, Elections, Senate Primaries

Notable Trades

Three-wallet Yes momentum

Three wallets are adding Yes exposure into strong upward momentum on a niche political market, including a high-volume cross-market bettor with positive lifetime P&L.

Three wallets bought the same side for $6.8k, adding to existing Yes positions rather than exiting.
One buyer is a heavy cross-market trader across 310 events and is up $97k lifetime.
The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 7 points today and 36 points this week.

$6,799 on Yes

82% winner buying Yes

Proven profitable political cross-market trader with an 82% long-run win rate is buying Yes after recent upward momentum.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $726K lifetime.
They have a long cross-market track record: 36 events and $308K traded in similar event-linked positions.
They bought Yes at 50¢ after the market moved up 11.5 points in the past day.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

Moderately interesting because a profitable serial cross-market trader with a large historical footprint is buying Yes on a politics market, though the trade size is not especially large versus market volume.

This bettor has won 68% of resolved trades and is up about $434k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 32 events and 45 markets with $1.8M in tracked cross-market volume.
They bought Yes at 54¢ as the market moved up 5.5 points over the past day.

$4,844 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

82% winner buying Yes

Proven profitable political cross-market trader with an 82% long-run win rate is buying Yes after recent upward momentum.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $726K lifetime.
They have a long cross-market track record: 36 events and $308K traded in similar event-linked positions.
They bought Yes at 50¢ after the market moved up 11.5 points in the past day.

$2,283 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%