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Event

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by...?

1 signal across 1 market · $1,656 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027

This Polymarket event tracks whether Russia captures Kup'yans'k-Pivdennyi railroad station in Kupiansk by December 31, 2026, according to the specified ISW map. The event has one Yes/No market, and the latest PolySpotter alert reports a profitable trader adding to No.

Markets (1)

  1. Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?1 signal · $1,656 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Profitable trader adds to No

    A highly active trader with $274k lifetime profit added $1,656 to an existing No position in a quiet market, though the 60% win rate is not exceptional relative to the wallet's average win price.

    $1,656Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.7

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xd44e97…67e2$1,656 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins

More on this event

Cross-market thesis
Russia won't capture Kupiansk

FAQs

What are the Polymarket odds on Russia capturing Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?

The market’s current Yes and No prices show its implied odds. Check the live event page for the latest prices; odds can change as traders update their positions.

What is the smart money doing in the Kupiansk market?

PolySpotter’s latest alert says a profitable trader added to No. The event has one tracked smart-money signal, representing $1,656 in tracked activity.

What counts as Russia capturing Kupiansk for this market?

The market resolves Yes if any part of the Kup'yans'k-Pivdennyi railroad station icon is shaded under the specified layer on the ISW map by the deadline. Otherwise, it resolves No under the market rules.

When does the Russia-Kupiansk prediction market resolve?

The market’s stated deadline is December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The event metadata lists the corresponding timestamp as January 1, 2027, at 04:59 UTC.