Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?
2 signals across 1 market · $7,735 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027
This Polymarket prediction market tracks whether Russia will capture the specified intersection in Rai-Oleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast, by December 31. The market resolves using the ISW map: “Yes” applies if any part of the intersection is shaded red by the deadline, while recent smart-money activity shows a serial trader scaling into “No.”
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Serial trader adding to No
A profitable serial cross-market trader with a 70% record added a sizable No position in a thin market, though the current No price is below their entry.
$2,800Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 4.5 - Serial trader scaling into No
An experienced serial trader added a large No position in a thin market, with the market subsequently moving toward No.
$4,935Wallet win rate: 60%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xd44e97…67e2$4,935 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0xc9328e…e6a5$2,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Russia capturing Rai-Oleksandrivka?
The event page displays the current Yes/No market prices, which represent the prediction-market odds for Russia capturing the specified intersection by December 31.
What is smart money doing in this Rai-Oleksandrivka market?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,935 in smart-money activity across the event and one signal: a serial trader scaling into the “No” position.
How will the Rai-Oleksandrivka prediction market resolve?
The market resolves “Yes” if any part of the specified intersection is shaded red on the ISW map by 11:59 PM ET on December 31. Otherwise, it resolves “No.”
When does the Rai-Oleksandrivka market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027 at 04:59 UTC, corresponding to 11:59 PM ET on December 31.