Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
4 signals across 1 market · $8,696 tracked · resolves Oct 16, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether any Roadster present at Tesla’s October 15, 2026 showcase gets all four wheels off the ground under its own power for at least one continuous second. An experienced bettor has recently been scaling into No, with $2,399 in smart money tracked across the event.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Seven-wallet cluster amid sharp repricing
A linked-wallet trade coincided with a 31.7x volume spike and a sharp Yes repricing from 34% to 80%, despite the wallet's track record not showing clear odds-adjusted edge.
$1,042Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 9.6 - Proven bettor adds to YES
A profitable bettor with an 82% win rate added nearly $3,000 to Yes amid a major volume spike and sharp price move.
$2,990Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.0 - Experienced bettor scaling into No
A substantial add to an existing No position is large relative to this market’s volume and liquidity, though the wallet’s high win rate is not strong evidence of edge given its average win price.
$2,399Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 4.3 - Experienced bettor scaling into No
A substantial add to an existing No position is large relative to this market’s volume and liquidity, though the wallet’s high win rate is not strong evidence of edge given its average win price.
$2,264Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf0d5eb…c665$4,663 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 95% wins
- 0xd10917…6fa0$2,990 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0xe23495…304a$1,042 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
FAQs
What are the Tesla Roadster flight odds?
The odds reflect the market’s current probability that a qualifying Roadster will fly for at least one continuous second. Check the live market for the latest price, since odds can change.
What counts as the Roadster flying for this market?
A Roadster physically present at the event must move under its own power with all four wheels completely airborne and no part of the vehicle touching the ground or a supporting structure for at least one continuous second.
What is smart money doing on the Tesla Roadster market?
PolySpotter has recorded one smart money signal: an experienced bettor scaling into No. The event has $2,399 in tracked smart money.
When does the Tesla Roadster prediction market resolve?
The event is scheduled for October 15, 2026, at 8:55 PM ET, and the market is set to resolve by October 16, 2026, at 03:59 UTC.