Event

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys

26 signals across 3 markets · $527,770 tracked · resolves Jul 4, 2026

This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market for Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys at the Lexus Eastbourne Open, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has tracked $17,478 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including a sharp cluster buying the underdog and a new repeat pre-match whale.

Markets (3)

  1. Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys21 signals · $517,284 tracked
  2. Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5)4 signals · $8,486 tracked
  3. Maria vs. Keys: Match O/U 21.51 signal · $2,000 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp underdog cluster

    High-conviction tennis underdog cluster with five wallets buying Tatjana Maria, including a proven 88% winner and a repeat new whale, alongside a major volume spike.

    $15,514Score: 12.2
  2. Sharp tennis bettors clustered

    Three wallets bought Keys, led by two proven profitable sports bettors with 79% and 88% win rates and strong cross-market track records.

    $3,847Score: 12.1
  3. 92% win-rate sports sharp

    Sharp sports bettor with a 92% record and strong lifetime profit bought Over in a relatively quiet tennis total market.

    $2,000Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 9.5
  4. 86% winner backing favorite

    Proven profitable sports bettor with an 86% record bought Madison Keys at 77%, with the market quickly moving to 80%.

    $2,009Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 9.4
  5. 97% sports sharp buying favorite

    Elite 97% win-rate bettor with strong profit history and serial cross-market success bought $19.2k of Madison Keys as the market moved upward.

    $10,099Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 9.4
  6. 97% sports sharp buying favorite

    Elite 97% win-rate bettor with strong profit history and serial cross-market success bought $19.2k of Madison Keys as the market moved upward.

    $19,219Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 9.3
  7. 97% winner buying favorite

    Elite profitable sports bettor with a 97% resolved record bought Madison Keys, supported by serial cross-market success and a pre-event volume/price move.

    $9,120Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 9.3
  8. Elite 81% sports sharp

    Elite profitable sports bettor bought Madison Keys at 79¢ before the price moved to 86¢, backed by a huge 81% long-term win rate and serial cross-market track record.

    $7,900Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 8.4
  9. Profitable new tennis whale

    A very new but already highly profitable wallet made another large $20k Madison Keys buy, backed by repeated flagged activity and a major pre-event volume spike.

    $32,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 8.1
  10. 97% winner buying favorite

    Elite profitable sports bettor with a 97% resolved record bought Madison Keys, supported by serial cross-market success and a pre-event volume/price move.

    $2,850Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 8.1

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xc5a2336dd9$391,000 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 100% wins
  2. 0x8bfee72d74$41,288 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 96% wins
  3. 0x9c68e5247a$20,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 75% wins
  4. 0x526852135d$17,609 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
  5. 0x8201c78a41$15,917 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 72% wins
  6. 0xcf6c547e66$7,900 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
  7. 0xe9d31c079f$2,009 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
  8. 0x6157d59fb4$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
  9. 0xe3dceaeaa8$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
  10. 0xde764f7d17$1,823 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Maria vs Keys prediction market odds?

The market prices the chance that either Tatjana Maria or Madison Keys advances in their Lexus Eastbourne Open match. Odds move as traders buy and sell based on form, matchup expectations, injuries, and live market sentiment.

What is the smart money doing on Maria vs Keys?

PolySpotter has tracked $17,478 in smart money activity across this event. Recent signals include a sharp cluster buying the underdog and a new repeat pre-match whale entering before the match.

Why does the underdog buying signal matter?

A sharp cluster buying the underdog can suggest informed traders see value where the broader market may be underpricing that player’s chance to win. It does not guarantee the outcome, but it is a useful signal to watch alongside the live odds.

When does the Maria vs Keys market resolve?

The market resolves when the match has a winner and one player advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market’s resolution rules, it may resolve according to Polymarket’s stated conditions.