What does Keys -1.5 vs Maria +1.5 mean?

This is a set handicap market. Madison Keys must win the match by 2 or more sets for the Keys side to win; Tatjana Maria covers the +1.5 handicap if she loses by fewer than 2 sets or wins the match.

When does the Keys vs Maria handicap market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve by July 4, 2026, based on the final completed score of the Lexus Eastbourne Open match between Madison Keys and Tatjana Maria.

How much smart money is tracked on this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,408 in smart money volume and 1 smart money signal for this Keys vs Maria set handicap market.

Where can I track Keys vs Maria Polymarket odds?

You can track the Keys vs Maria set handicap odds, smart money alerts, and market movement on PolySpotter’s Polymarket analytics page for this match.

Part of: Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys

Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5)

Q: What happens if Keys vs Maria is not completed?

If the match begins but is not completed, the market resolves 50-50. If it is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, it follows the market’s cancellation and delay rules.

This Polymarket tennis market covers the set handicap for Madison Keys (-1.5) vs Tatjana Maria (+1.5) at the Lexus Eastbourne Open. It resolves to Keys if she wins by at least 2 more sets than Maria; otherwise it resolves to Maria, with resolution scheduled for July 4, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,408 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,486.

Categories: Sports, Games, Tennis

Notable Trades

Proven tennis sharp

Proven profitable sports bettor with a 79% record and extensive cross-market history bought Keys -1.5 sets at 52¢.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $135K lifetime.
They have traded across 67 events with a strong 79% record, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 52¢ implies they see Keys -1.5 sets as mispriced despite a fairly tight market.

$1,408 on Keys | Wallet win rate: 79%

Sharp tennis bettors clustered

Three wallets bought Keys, led by two proven profitable sports bettors with 79% and 88% win rates and strong cross-market track records.

Two bettors in this cluster win 79% and 88% of resolved trades and are up a combined $181K lifetime.
Both sharp wallets are serial cross-market traders, covering 98 events with strong historical results.
The group bought Keys around 52–53¢, implying they see value before the market has fully moved.

$3,847 on Keys

90% tennis sharp

Sharp tennis bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Maria on the set handicap despite the market moving against the entry.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $134k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 85 events with a strong 90% hit rate.
Bought Maria at 51¢ on a liquid tennis handicap, and the current 46¢ price is better than their entry.

$2,000 on Maria | Wallet win rate: 88%

88% win-rate tennis sharp

Sharp tennis bettor with an 88% historical win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Keys -1.5 sets at 53¢.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $46K lifetime.
They have a long cross-market track record: 31 events, 33 markets, and $58.6K traded.
Entry at 53¢ is only slightly above the market, suggesting they see Keys -1.5 as mispriced.

$1,230 on Keys | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

0xe3dc...eaa8 — Outcome 89915535, $3,933 (88% win rate)
0x30ea...3178 — Outcome 89915535, $2,500
0xc34b...9296 — Outcome 89915535, $1,898 (95% win rate)
0x3135...f6c3 — Outcome 89915535, $1,694
0x3f41...5ffc — Outcome 89915535, $1,449 (71% win rate)
0x5b62...d87f — Outcome 89915535, $1,000 (81% win rate)
0x4a3f...4333 — Outcome 89915535, $833
0x9ff6...348f — Outcome 89915535, $426
0xb4d0...a1c5 — Outcome 89915535, $422 (46% win rate)
0xbd3a...91fd — Outcome 89915535, $409

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Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5)

2dLexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Madison Keys$8,486 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesTennis

This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Keys and Tatjana Maria in the Lexus Eastbourne Open, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Keys" if Madison Keys wins by 2 or more sets than Tatjana Maria, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Maria." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.