Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens
10 signals across 2 markets · $58,561 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026
This Bad Homburg Open event tracks the prediction market for Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens, with traders pricing which player will advance. PolySpotter has tracked $5,000 in smart money activity on the event, including a recent signal from an 85% sharp tennis bettor.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 92% winner leads Osaka cluster
Surface this because a highly profitable 92% win-rate sports bettor is joining a small one-sided Osaka cluster at 53–54¢.
$5,817Score: 12.1 - 96% winner buying favorite
A highly profitable 96% win-rate serial sports trader put nearly $20k on Naomi Osaka despite the market later drifting below their entry.
$19,785Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 9.3 - 85% sharp tennis bettor
Sharp tennis bettor with an 85% win rate and strong cross-market track record bought $5,000 of Elise Mertens at 50¢.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 8.0 - 92% winner bought early
Highly profitable serial cross-market tennis bettor with a 92% win rate bought Naomi Osaka at 54%, well before the market moved to 72%.
$1,620Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 8.0 - 99% sports sharp
Elite high-volume sports bettor with 99% resolved win rate bought Osaka at 82%, and the market has already moved to 94%.
$2,626Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 7.0 - Elite sports sharp
Elite profitable sports bettor with an 81% long-run win rate bought $5.3k of Under 2.5 sets at 58¢.
$5,285Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 6.0 - Profitable whale flipped favorite
A very profitable high-volume wallet appears to have flipped into Osaka during a sharp 29-point move, though the best entry has mostly passed.
$7,575Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 5.6 - 76% winner backs favorite
Sharp profitable wallet with a 76% resolved-bet win rate is backing Osaka amid a large pre-event volume spike.
$1,100Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.1 - Profitable regular chasing steam
Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Osaka into a major pre-match price move and volume spike.
$3,780Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 3.7 - Profitable whale flipped favorite
A very profitable high-volume wallet appears to have flipped into Osaka during a sharp 29-point move, though the best entry has mostly passed.
$5,973Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 2.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8bfee7…2d74$19,785 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x526852…135d$13,548 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 53% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$5,285 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0xe3dcea…eaa8$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x6485f4…a265$3,780 · 1 market · 1 alert · 55% wins
- 0x698204…a165$2,626 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0x6157d5…9fb4$1,620 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x6ca41a…348f$1,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
FAQs
What are the Osaka vs Mertens odds on Polymarket?
The event market prices the chance that Naomi Osaka or Elise Mertens advances from their Bad Homburg Open match. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money activity so you can see how the market is moving.
What is the smart money doing on Osaka vs Mertens?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,000 in smart money across this event, with one recent alert highlighting activity from an 85% sharp tennis bettor.
Who wins the Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens prediction market?
The market resolves to Naomi Osaka if she advances against Elise Mertens, and to Elise Mertens if Mertens advances.
When does the Osaka vs Mertens market resolve?
The market is scheduled around the Bad Homburg Open match originally set for June 23, 2026, and resolves once a winner is determined, with a listed resolution deadline of June 30, 2026.