Part of: Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $53,276.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
99% sports sharp
Elite high-volume sports bettor with 99% resolved win rate bought Osaka at 82%, and the market has already moved to 94%.
- This bettor has won 832 of 841 resolved bets and is up $485K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 231 events with a 99% win record.
- They bought Osaka at 82¢ before the market moved to 94¢, showing the trade was quickly validated.
$2,626 on Naomi Osaka | Wallet win rate: 99%
96% winner buying favorite
A highly profitable 96% win-rate serial sports trader put nearly $20k on Naomi Osaka despite the market later drifting below their entry.
- This bettor has won 79 of 82 resolved bets and is up $334k lifetime.
- They put nearly $20k on Naomi Osaka across 3 buys, paying 86–88¢.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market sports trader with $1.5M deployed across 79 events.
$19,785 on Naomi Osaka | Wallet win rate: 96%
76% winner backs favorite
Sharp profitable wallet with a 76% resolved-bet win rate is backing Osaka amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $34,299 lifetime.
- They bought $1,100 of Osaka at 82¢, backing the favorite despite already-high odds.
- The market saw a 47x pre-event volume spike, suggesting broader attention around this match.
$1,100 on Naomi Osaka | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable whale flipped favorite
A very profitable high-volume wallet appears to have flipped into Osaka during a sharp 29-point move, though the best entry has mostly passed.
- This high-volume bettor is up $1.4M lifetime across 15,802 resolved trades.
- They added about $6.0K on Osaka at 76–78¢ as her price jumped 29 points.
- The market saw a 53x volume spike, suggesting fast-moving conviction around the match.
$5,973 on Naomi Osaka | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable whale flipped favorite
A very profitable high-volume wallet appears to have flipped into Osaka during a sharp 29-point move, though the best entry has mostly passed.
- This high-volume bettor is up $1.4M lifetime across 15,802 resolved trades.
- They added about $6.0K on Osaka at 76–78¢ as her price jumped 29 points.
- The market saw a 53x volume spike, suggesting fast-moving conviction around the match.
$7,575 on Naomi Osaka | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable regular chasing steam
Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Osaka into a major pre-match price move and volume spike.
- This bettor is up $91,734 lifetime across $2.9M in resolved bets.
- Osaka’s price jumped 29 points, with volume running 53x above the recent average.
- The trade entered at 84¢ and the market has already moved to 88¢.
$3,780 on Naomi Osaka | Wallet win rate: 55%
92% winner bought early
Highly profitable serial cross-market tennis bettor with a 92% win rate bought Naomi Osaka at 54%, well before the market moved to 72%.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $388K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with over $1M deployed across 261 events.
- They bought Naomi Osaka at 54%, and the market has already moved to 72%.
$1,620 on Naomi Osaka | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% winner leads Osaka cluster
Surface this because a highly profitable 92% win-rate sports bettor is joining a small one-sided Osaka cluster at 53–54¢.
- One bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $388K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $5.8K total at 53–54¢.
- The sharp wallet is a serial sports trader across 260 events with a 92% win rate.
$5,817 on Naomi Osaka
85% sharp tennis bettor
Sharp tennis bettor with an 85% win rate and strong cross-market track record bought $5,000 of Elise Mertens at 50¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $51,338 lifetime.
- They have traded across 28 events with the same 85% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- A $5,000 buy at 50¢ backs Elise Mertens in a near coin-flip market.
$5,000 on Elise Mertens | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xe3dc...eaa8 — Outcome 36360736, $10,026 (88% win rate)
- 0x927c...6633 — Outcome 36360736, $9,903 (89% win rate)
- 0xa9c4...7433 — Outcome 36360736, $4,523 (77% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Outcome 36360736, $3,000 (64% win rate)
- 0x6262...b5c0 — Outcome 36360736, $2,458
- 0x1b50...87fb — Outcome 36360736, $2,084 (47% win rate)
- 0xc26a...b715 — Outcome 36360736, $1,353 (31% win rate)
- 0xa670...55d2 — Outcome 36360736, $1,133 (83% win rate)
- 0x38f1...9ff1 — Outcome 36360736, $666 (79% win rate)
- 0xc1b5...c8f8 — Outcome 36360736, $574 (53% win rate)
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