Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk
4 signals across 1 market · $17,401 tracked · resolves May 2, 2026
This Madrid Open prediction market tracks whether Jessica Pegula or Marta Kostyuk will advance from their scheduled April 25, 2026 match. PolySpotter is monitoring the event’s Polymarket odds alongside $17,401 in tracked smart money activity, including a 3-wallet Pegula cluster and notable underdog buying on Kostyuk.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 3-wallet Pegula cluster
Three wallets piled into Jessica Pegula during a huge pre-match volume spike, and one of them has an unusually strong 85% record across 245 event markets, making this coordinated flow worth watching despite mixed quality across the other wallets.
$9,701Score: 10.7 - Sharp bettor buys underdog
A proven high-volume winning sports trader with a 72% hit rate bought Marta Kostyuk at 41¢ as this market saw an unusual pre-match volume surge.
$1,822Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 6.6 - 78% win-rate sports bettor
A proven profitable sports bettor with a 78% win rate and nearly $180k in profit is taking Marta Kostyuk at 43¢, a meaningful underdog price in a liquid match market.
$3,043Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 6.0 - 85% win-rate bettor
A serial cross-market sports bettor with an 85% win rate placed a meaningful fresh bet on Pegula, making this worth watching despite the modest alert score and liquid market.
$2,836Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa82a8a…a759$3,043 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0x99fb27…acba$2,836 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$1,822 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
FAQs
What are the Pegula vs Kostyuk odds on Polymarket?
The Polymarket odds reflect traders’ live probability estimates for whether Jessica Pegula or Marta Kostyuk will advance. PolySpotter tracks those prices along with smart money alerts to show how the market is moving.
What is the smart money doing on Pegula vs Kostyuk?
PolySpotter has tracked 4 smart money signals totaling $17,401 across this event. Recent alerts include a 3-wallet Pegula cluster, sharp underdog buying, and activity from sports bettors with 78% and 85% tracked win rates.
Is the market only about who wins the match?
Yes. This event’s child market resolves based on which player advances: Jessica Pegula or Marta Kostyuk. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the stated rules without a winner, resolution follows the market’s cancellation/delay criteria.
When does the Pegula vs Kostyuk market resolve?
The match was originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 4:00AM ET, and the event is listed to resolve by May 2, 2026 at 08:00 UTC, depending on the official match result and Polymarket rules.
Why watch this Pegula vs Kostyuk prediction market?
Prediction markets can reveal how traders are pricing a matchup in real time. For this event, the mix of Pegula-cluster activity and underdog buying makes the smart money flow especially useful to follow.