Part of: Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk
Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,401.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
85% win-rate bettor
A serial cross-market sports bettor with an 85% win rate placed a meaningful fresh bet on Pegula, making this worth watching despite the modest alert score and liquid market.
- This bettor wins 85% of their resolved trades across 243 markets
- They have placed more than $1.05M across 246 events, suggesting a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt
- They bought Jessica Pegula at 56¢ while the market now sits at 50¢, giving a better follow price than the original entry
$2,836 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 85%
3-wallet Pegula cluster
Three wallets piled into Jessica Pegula during a huge pre-match volume spike, and one of them has an unusually strong 85% record across 245 event markets, making this coordinated flow worth watching despite mixed quality across the other wallets.
- Three wallets all took Jessica Pegula within 15 minutes, totaling $9.7k during a 124x volume spike.
- One wallet wins 85% of its resolved bets across 245 event markets, suggesting this is not random action.
- They bought at 54-58¢ while Pegula now trades at 46¢, so this is a follow-only-if-you-still like the thesis setup.
$9,701 on Jessica Pegula
Sharp bettor buys underdog
A proven high-volume winning sports trader with a 72% hit rate bought Marta Kostyuk at 41¢ as this market saw an unusual pre-match volume surge.
- This bettor has won 2,547 of 3,514 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime.
- They bought Marta Kostyuk at 41¢, a price that implies roughly a 2.4x payout if she wins.
- This market saw a 96.7x volume spike versus normal activity, suggesting stronger-than-usual interest before the match.
$1,822 on Marta Kostyuk | Wallet win rate: 67%
78% win-rate sports bettor
A proven profitable sports bettor with a 78% win rate and nearly $180k in profit is taking Marta Kostyuk at 43¢, a meaningful underdog price in a liquid match market.
- This bettor wins 78% of their trades and is up $179k across 139 resolved markets
- They have repeated this pattern across 29 different events, suggesting a real edge rather than a one-off bet
- Bought Marta Kostyuk at 43¢ while the market now prices her around 42¢, so they see value in the underdog
$3,043 on Marta Kostyuk | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 94611386, $21,174 (67% win rate)
- 0xba81...dc35 — Outcome 94611386, $10,981 (93% win rate)
- 0xbd2d...0344 — Outcome 94611386, $6,407 (82% win rate)
- 0x4698...d7a5 — Outcome 94611386, $5,810 (100% win rate)
- 0xea87...1ad7 — Outcome 94611386, $2,709 (77% win rate)
- 0x1117...3532 — Outcome 94611386, $2,417 (64% win rate)
- 0xabf4...43f7 — Outcome 94611386, $2,220 (55% win rate)
- 0x081e...f76e — Outcome 94611386, $1,792 (92% win rate)
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 94611386, $1,536
- 0x159a...d8db — Outcome 94611386, $1,518 (49% win rate)
