US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
12 signals across 4 markets · $93,140 tracked · resolves Sep 17, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula in the 2026 US Open WTA tournament. The event tracks the match winner and a game-spread market, with recent smart-money activity backing Sabalenka.
Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- 93% win-rate bettor backs Sabalenka
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and 2,637 resolved positions bought Sabalenka amid a major volume spike and rapid price move.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 6.2 - Four-wallet Pegula buying surge
Four wallets deployed $62K on Pegula amid a 117x volume spike, creating a notable coordinated contrarian position despite weak track records and substantial existing exposure.
$62,336Score: 5.9 - 97% winner adds to Pegula
A highly profitable 97% win-rate sports bettor is adding to an existing Pegula handicap position at 63¢.
$3,101Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 5.6 - Serial trader buys Pegula amid volume spike
A highly experienced serial trader bought Pegula during a 50x volume spike, though the wallet's historical record does not show a clear odds-adjusted edge.
$1,487Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 5.5 - 94% win-rate bettor backs Pegula
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge bought $7,770 of Jessica Pegula at 37¢.
$7,770Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.4 - 94% win-rate bettor adds to Sabalenka
A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate is adding to an existing Sabalenka position at 64 cents.
$2,386Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 4.7 - Sharp bettor scaling into Sabalenka
A highly profitable tennis bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is adding $5,000 to an existing Sabalenka position.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 4.7 - Serial sharp backs Pegula underdog
A highly experienced serial trader with a 71% win rate backed Jessica Pegula amid a 68.7x pre-event volume spike.
$1,800Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 4.7 - Serial trader buys Pegula amid volume spike
A highly experienced serial trader bought Pegula during a 50x volume spike, though the wallet's historical record does not show a clear odds-adjusted edge.
$1,059Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 4.6 - Serial trader buys Pegula amid volume spike
A highly experienced serial trader bought Pegula during a 50x volume spike, though the wallet's historical record does not show a clear odds-adjusted edge.
$2,704Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 4.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x79ae09…9a4a$7,770 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x2a6966…d2f7$5,249 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 70% wins
- 0xbbf379…aa3a$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0xe23b8c…7c42$3,101 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x5f3017…3aee$3,098 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0xc1a927…e2db$2,386 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xacf838…e791$1,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0xdc7a3d…2703$1,400 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0x081e14…f76e$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
FAQs
What are the Sabalenka vs Pegula prediction-market odds?
PolySpotter tracks live Polymarket pricing for the Sabalenka-Pegula match, including the winner market and the Sabalenka -2.5 versus Pegula +2.5 game-spread market.
What is the smart money betting on in Sabalenka vs Pegula?
The latest tracked alert shows a sharp bettor backing Aryna Sabalenka. PolySpotter tracks $1,400 in smart-money activity across this event.
When is the Sabalenka vs Pegula match scheduled?
The match is scheduled for September 10, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET as part of the US Open WTA tournament.
When will the Sabalenka vs Pegula Polymarket resolve?
The market resolves based on which player advances. If the match is not played, ends without a determined winner, or remains unresolved by the stated deadline, the exchange rules determine the outcome.