Part of: US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula

Game Spread: Sabalenka (-2.5) vs Pegula (+2.5)

This prediction market covers the Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula tennis match and asks whether Sabalenka will win by at least 2.5 total games. The match is scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET; the supplied metadata does not include current market odds, but it records $1,400 in tracked smart money and one sharp-bettor signal backing Sabalenka.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,400.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor backs Sabalenka

A proven bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,400 bet on Sabalenka in a very lightly traded market.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $17,412 lifetime.
  • The $1,400 Sabalenka bet is over six times the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • Entry at 53¢ implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Sabalenka being only a slight favorite.

$1,400 on Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0x559b...4959 Outcome 10506306, $2,879 (68% win rate)
  2. 0x48aa...7479 Outcome 52293972, $146
  3. 0x7eeb...b6bd Outcome 10506306, $100
  4. 0x8956...755f Outcome 10506306, $97
  5. 0x1901...31ce Outcome 10506306, $77
  6. 0x8f9b...8b23 Outcome 10506306, $11
  7. 0xb0af...bfd0 Outcome 10506306, $7
  8. 0x6e69...32eb Outcome 10506306, $2
  9. 0x0936...fb00 Outcome 10506306, $2

Game Spread: Sabalenka (-2.5) vs Pegula (+2.5)

6dUS Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula$1,400 tracked1 signalTennisSportsGames

This market will resolve to "Sabalenka" if Aryna Sabalenka wins 2.5 or more total games than Jessica Pegula in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pegula". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the match ends at a point where Aryna Sabalenka could no longer have finished 2.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Pegula". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Sabalenka
55¢
40¢
26¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Game Spread: Sabalenka (-2.5) vs Pegula (+2.5)

23h ago

$1,400 on Sabalenka at 53¢