National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek
8 signals across 3 markets · $216,886 tracked · resolves Aug 18, 2026
Track the National Bank Open prediction market for Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek, with outcomes covering which player advances. PolySpotter is tracking $191,159 in smart money for the event, including a recent alert showing a whale backing Swiatek heavily.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Four-wallet Swiatek cluster
Four linked wallets have built a coordinated Swiatek position, though the primary wallet is adding to an existing bet and has only a limited track record.
$3,149Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 7.5 - 82% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is taking a fresh position on Shnaider at 52%.
$2,006Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.6 - 82% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 82% win rate and substantial edge is taking a fresh position on Shnaider at 52%.
$4,240Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.6 - 85% win-rate tennis specialist
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 85% win rate and substantial positive edge is making a fresh $1,750 bet on Shnaider at 52%.
$1,751Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 5.4 - Proven serial bettor adds to Swiatek
A proven 79% bettor with a substantial edge is adding to an Iga Swiatek position while showing broad serial cross-market activity.
$4,474Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.7 - Sharp bettor backs Swiatek
A highly experienced bettor with 2,423 resolved trades and an 18-point edge bought $6,818 of Iga Swiatek at 73%, making this a credible sharp position.
$6,818Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.7 - Profitable serial bettor in thin market
A highly profitable, highly active bettor made a sizable fresh bet in an exceptionally thin market, and the position has since moved from 70¢ to 89¢.
$3,290Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 2.1 - Whale backs Swiatek heavily
A single wallet made a concentrated $191,000 directional bet against Shnaider, effectively backing Swiatek, while triggering an extreme pre-event volume spike.
$191,159Wallet win rate: 48%Score: 1.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0x6d20c3…a165$191,159 · 1 market · 1 alert · 48% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$6,818 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0xf377b9…4159$6,246 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 85% wins
- 0x901515…281f$4,474 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$3,290 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0xf585d0…fe8d$3,149 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x0353aa…c2ff$1,751 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
FAQs
What are the Shnaider vs Swiatek prediction-market odds?
The Polymarket market tracks the chances of Diana Shnaider or Iga Swiatek advancing in their National Bank Open match. Check the live event page for current prices, which can change as traders react to news and match updates.
What is the smart money doing in the Shnaider vs Swiatek market?
PolySpotter has recorded one smart money signal for this event: a whale backed Iga Swiatek heavily. The event has $191,159 in total smart money tracked.
When is the Shnaider vs Swiatek match scheduled?
The match is scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET as part of the National Bank Open.
When does the Shnaider vs Swiatek prediction market resolve?
The market resolves when either Diana Shnaider or Iga Swiatek advances. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than seven days without a winner, the exchange's stated fallback rules apply, with resolution no later than August 18, 2026.