Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa
6 signals across 1 market · $47,569 tracked · resolves Sep 25, 2026
Follow the Sao Paulo Open prediction market for the Mary Stoiana vs Paula Badosa tennis match, with outcomes traded for either player to advance. PolySpotter tracks $10,570 in smart money across the event, including a recent signal from a serial whale backing Badosa.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 93% winner sells Badosa
A highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor led a three-wallet sell-off of Paula Badosa at 87¢, creating a notable contrarian position on Mary Stoiana despite two wallets taking profits.
$11,805Score: 6.9 - 93% winner backs Badosa
A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $8,000 wager on Paula Badosa.
$9,405Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.4 - 93% winner backs Badosa
A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $8,000 wager on Paula Badosa.
$8,000Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.4 - 86% winner scaling into Badosa
A highly active bettor with an 86% win rate is adding heavily to Paula Badosa in a relatively quiet market, though the existing position makes this less fresh than a new entry.
$3,669Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 4.0 - Serial whale backing Badosa
A serial, highly profitable trader made a concentrated $10.6K bet on Paula Badosa in an unusually quiet market, though the wallet's historical edge is modest relative to its entry prices.
$10,570Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 2.1 - Serial whale backing Badosa
A serial, highly profitable trader made a concentrated $10.6K bet on Paula Badosa in an unusually quiet market, though the wallet's historical edge is modest relative to its entry prices.
$4,119Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 2.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0x081e14…f76e$17,405 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0xfe787d…0319$14,689 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 64% wins
- 0x99fb27…acba$3,669 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
FAQs
What are the Sao Paulo Open odds for Stoiana vs Badosa?
The live Polymarket odds show the market-implied probability of Mary Stoiana or Paula Badosa advancing. Check the event page for the latest prices, which can change as trading continues.
What is the Sao Paulo Open prediction market trading?
This event covers the match between Mary Stoiana and Paula Badosa. It resolves to the player who advances, with separate outcomes for Stoiana and Badosa.
What is smart money betting on in the Stoiana vs Badosa market?
PolySpotter has tracked $10,570 in smart money across the event and reports one recent signal: a serial whale backing Paula Badosa.
When is the Stoiana vs Badosa match scheduled?
The match is scheduled for September 18, 2026, at 9:00 AM ET in the Sao Paulo Open.
When does the Sao Paulo Open prediction market resolve?
The market resolves after the match outcome determines which player advances. The event is listed to resolve by September 25, 2026, subject to the exchange's cancellation and match-completion rules.