WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?
4 signals across 1 market · $7,009 tracked · resolves May 4, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether WTI Crude Oil futures close higher or lower on May 4, 2026 versus the prior trading day. PolySpotter is monitoring $7,009 in smart money activity across 4 signals, including serial macro bettors taking both Up and fading Up positions.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 88% serial macro bettor
A highly proven 88% win-rate serial cross-market trader bought Down in a thin WTI market, making this a small but follow-worthy directional bet.
$1,083Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.5 - Serial macro bettor buying Up
Serial cross-market bettor with a 73% resolved record effectively bought Up at 54¢ before the market moved to 64¢, though current entry is materially worse.
$2,181Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial macro trader
Moderately interesting: a profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a meaningful Down position in a thin WTI market with recent momentum in the same direction.
$1,806Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 4.0 - 88% winner fading Up
Sharp wallet with an 88% resolved win rate and strong edge is fading WTI Up, effectively buying Down at 30¢ before the market moved its way.
$1,939Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9da0e7…523c$2,181 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
- 0x0e7185…be4c$1,939 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0x264cbb…baca$1,806 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0x40604c…3ec3$1,083 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
FAQs
What are the WTI Crude Oil May 4 odds on Polymarket?
The odds reflect the market-implied probability that WTI crude closes Up or Down on May 4, 2026 compared with the previous trading day. PolySpotter tracks these odds alongside smart money activity so you can see how experienced traders are positioned.
What is the smart money doing on WTI Crude Oil for May 4?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show activity from serial macro bettors, including one buying Up and another 88% winner fading Up. That suggests the market has meaningful disagreement among tracked traders rather than a one-sided smart money view.
How does this WTI Up or Down market resolve?
It resolves to Up if the active-month WTI Crude Oil futures close price on May 4, 2026 is higher than the most recent prior trading day’s close. It resolves to Down if that close is lower.
When does the WTI Crude Oil May 4 market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by May 4, 2026 at 21:00 UTC, after the relevant WTI futures close price is available.
Why watch smart money for a daily oil prediction market?
Daily commodity markets can move on macro news, inventory expectations, risk sentiment, and energy headlines. Smart money tracking helps identify when profitable or specialized macro traders are building positions before resolution.