Part of: WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,009.
Categories: Finance, Commodities, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Oil, Rewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
Serial macro bettor buying Up
Serial cross-market bettor with a 73% resolved record effectively bought Up at 54¢ before the market moved to 64¢, though current entry is materially worse.
- This bettor has won 73% of 141 resolved bets and is up about $10.3K lifetime.
- They effectively bought Up at 54¢ by selling Down, and the market has since moved to 64¢.
- This is a repeat cross-market trader across 32 events, suggesting a consistent macro betting strategy.
$2,181 on Up | Wallet win rate: 73%
88% winner fading Up
Sharp wallet with an 88% resolved win rate and strong edge is fading WTI Up, effectively buying Down at 30¢ before the market moved its way.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $13.9k lifetime.
- They effectively bought Down at 30¢, and the market has already moved toward them to 34¢.
- Their past bets beat implied odds by 37 points on average, suggesting a real pricing edge.
$1,939 on Down | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable serial macro trader
Moderately interesting: a profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a meaningful Down position in a thin WTI market with recent momentum in the same direction.
- This bettor has a long record across 501 resolved trades and is up about $55k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with 26 events and $298k tracked in this pattern.
- The $1.8k Down buy is large for this thin market, equal to about 74% of recent 24h volume.
$1,806 on Down | Wallet win rate: 59%
88% serial macro bettor
A highly proven 88% win-rate serial cross-market trader bought Down in a thin WTI market, making this a small but follow-worthy directional bet.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $150K lifetime.
- They have traded 221 markets across 140 events, showing a long repeat pattern rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Down at 50¢ in a thin market with only $2.4K traded in 24 hours.
$1,083 on Down | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0xe74c...dbd0 — Outcome 31224255, $3,000
- 0xfb59...83f9 — Outcome 31224255, $1,067 (76% win rate)
- 0x96ac...2c21 — Outcome 31224255, $700 (62% win rate)
- 0xdd7c...3a6a — Outcome 31224255, $427
- 0x27b0...fc67 — Outcome 31224255, $300 (72% win rate)
- 0xf9f0...0a1b — Outcome 31224255, $300 (83% win rate)
- 0x65d5...e7ca — Outcome 31224255, $200
- 0x4d2f...cc25 — Outcome 31224255, $200
- 0x2eeb...f025 — Outcome 31224255, $154
- 0x6ffd...a637 — Outcome 31224255, $101 (78% win rate)
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