Part of: Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud
20 smart money signals detected, totaling $206,571.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
8-wallet Ruud cluster
A linked cluster of 8 wallets piled into Casper Ruud before a huge move from 42¢ to 92¢, led by a very active cross-market bettor with a solid long-term edge.
- 8 wallets all bought Casper Ruud, and 4 of them trace back to the same funder.
- This wallet has nearly 6,000 resolved bets and is up $108k lifetime.
- The buy came at 42¢ before Ruud moved to 92¢, a massive 50-point jump.
$3,592 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 59%
96% winner flipped to Ruud
A proven sharp bettor with a 96% win rate flipped into Casper Ruud at 69¢ while 6 wallets piled in the same direction, creating a notable coordinated sports trade despite the market later moving against them.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $142k across 2,005 settled positions.
- Six wallets bought Casper Ruud for a combined $37.5k, pointing to a shared thesis rather than a lone bet.
- This wallet had already closed a Tsitsipas position, so this Ruud buy looks like a fresh directional flip at 69¢.
$2,293 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 95%
95% win-rate sharp on Ruud
A proven sharp bettor with a 95% win rate joined a 6-wallet, $37k one-sided move into Casper Ruud during a volume spike, making this a strong trade to study despite the market later moving sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 95% of their resolved trades and is up $56.7k across 74 bets.
- Six wallets bought Casper Ruud in the same window for $37.5k total as market activity jumped 43x above normal.
- The entry was 67¢, which is now far above the 40¢ market price, so only a lower-price follow makes sense.
$1,400 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 92%
93% win-rate bettor buys Ruud
A proven sharp sports bettor with a 93% win rate joined a 6-wallet one-sided move into Casper Ruud during a major volume spike, making this a strong follow signal despite the market moving against their entry afterward.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $586k across 193 bets.
- Six wallets all bought Casper Ruud for about $37.5k total as market volume jumped 43x normal.
- The fill was 67¢, implying they saw Ruud as clearly mispriced before a fast 21.5-point move.
$4,020 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 94%
76% win-rate thesis flip
A proven 76% win-rate cross-market trader flipped this tennis market with a fresh $5,000 buy on Tsitsipas after previously closing a profitable Ruud position, making this a notable thesis change despite the market moving sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has won 76% of 319 resolved trades across 272 events, so their moves are worth tracking.
- They put $5,000 into Tsitsipas at 89¢ after closing an earlier Ruud position, showing a clear change in view rather than routine profit-taking.
- Market activity spiked 30.7x and Tsitsipas has since fallen from 89¢ to 40¢, so this is high-conviction but the original entry is gone.
$5,000 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 76%
79% winner flips to Tsitsipas
A proven 79% win-rate sports trader exited Casper Ruud as multiple wallets piled into Tsitsipas, matching a strong one-sided move and sharp price swing.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and has made about $29.6k profit across 107 settled markets.
- Six wallets put $43k behind Tsitsipas together, and the price swung hard against Ruud during the move.
- This trade was a sell of Ruud at 46¢, which translates to buying Tsitsipas around 54¢ in this binary market.
$1,535 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 80%
80% winner in 6-wallet surge
A high-volume coordinated move backed by a serial 80% win-rate trader is worth watching, even though this wallet bought after a sharp run-up and is now underwater.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 384 bets and has traded nearly $7.6M across 181 events
- Six wallets piled into Stefanos Tsitsipas on the same side for $43k total as the price jumped 39 points
- The trader paid 77¢, showing strong conviction even after a sharp move, though the market is now back at 56¢
$4,830 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 80%
6-wallet Tsitsipas surge
A proven high-volume sports trader joined a 6-wallet, $43k one-sided move that drove Tsitsipas up sharply, making this coordinated flow worth watching despite the wallet’s modest standalone edge.
- 6 wallets put $43k on the same side and pushed Tsitsipas up 39 points
- This wallet has 1,325 resolved bets and is up about $44.9k overall
- Market volume ran 27.5x above normal, showing unusual attention on this match
$1,460 on Stefanos Tsitsipas | Wallet win rate: 61%
Linked Ruud betting cluster
A profitable high-volume sports trader joined a 4-wallet linked cluster buying Casper Ruud into a sharp pre-match move, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than a routine bet.
- Four wallets bought Casper Ruud together for $27.1k, and two share a funder.
- This wallet has 215 resolved bets and is up $369k lifetime.
- They entered at 34¢ before the market moved to 30¢, signaling strong conviction despite immediate heat.
$5,000 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable event specialist
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought $15k of Casper Ruud into a sharp pre-match move, taking a contrarian entry before the price fell further.
- This bettor has won 129 of 215 resolved markets and is up $369k lifetime
- They bought $15k of Casper Ruud at 34¢, and the market moved lower to 30¢ right after
- This match saw a 31.5x volume spike, suggesting fast new information or strong conviction before the result
$15,000 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x153a...9d6d — Outcome 10893867, $38,706 (63% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 10893867, $29,644 (53% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 10893867, $15,808 (80% win rate)
- 0x1980...67d8 — Outcome 10893867, $14,149
- 0x336b...1233 — Outcome 10893867, $11,000 (47% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 10893867, $6,761 (89% win rate)
- 0x1f35...95da — Outcome 10893867, $6,636 (65% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — Outcome 10893867, $5,000 (56% win rate)
- 0x4df3...788f — Outcome 10893867, $4,449 (71% win rate)
- 0x0d96...7c16 — Outcome 10893867, $3,540 (95% win rate)
