Part of: HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships: Hamad Medjedovic vs Ugo Humbert
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $107,653.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
92% win-rate sharp
Elite 92% win-rate wallet with $2.7M lifetime profit bought $12.7K of Ugo Humbert and moved the market sharply toward resolution.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $2.7M lifetime.
- They have traded across 592 events with nearly $7.9M in tracked cross-market volume.
- Their $12.7K buy at 81¢ helped push Ugo Humbert to 100¢, suggesting the edge may already be mostly gone.
$12,658 on Ugo Humbert | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% winner leading Ugo surge
A highly profitable 92% winner led a four-wallet move into Ugo Humbert, with the price jumping sharply from the high-50s/low-60s to 84%.
- The lead bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $2.7M lifetime.
- Four wallets put $20.8K on Ugo Humbert, including a $12.7K buy from the strongest wallet.
- Ugo moved from around 58–61¢ to 84¢ within minutes, showing strong one-way momentum.
$20,767 on Ugo Humbert
98% win-rate bettor
Sharp wallet with a 98% resolved win rate and +$64.6k P&L bought Ugo Humbert despite this being a liquid tennis market.
- This bettor has won 179 of 182 resolved positions and is up $64.6k lifetime.
- They bought Ugo Humbert at 59¢, implying confidence even in a high-volume market.
- Their average winning entry is also around 59¢, matching this trade’s price range.
$1,298 on Ugo Humbert | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A proven high-volume cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Ugo Humbert at 58¢.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 1,107 bets and is up $74k lifetime.
- They are highly experienced, with $1.26M traded across 624 events.
- Entry at 58¢ implies they see Humbert as meaningfully more likely than the market's current 56% odds.
$1,400 on Ugo Humbert | Wallet win rate: 76%
93% winner backing underdog
Sharp sports bettor with a 93% resolved-bet win rate and nearly $95k profit bought $10k of Hamad Medjedovic despite only a modest detection score.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $94,746 lifetime.
- They put $10,000 on Hamad Medjedovic at 47¢, taking the underdog side.
- The market is liquid, but this wallet’s track record is strong enough to make the bet worth following.
$10,000 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 93%
95% winner exiting exposure
Extremely sharp tennis/cross-market wallet with a 95% resolved win rate is exiting Hamad exposure, which in this binary market maps to favoring Ugo at about 57¢, though it may be position management rather than a fresh bet.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $4.9M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $10.8M traded across 700 markets.
- Selling Hamad at 43¢ is equivalent to backing Ugo at 57¢, but this may be closing an existing Hamad position.
$9,988 on Ugo Humbert | Wallet win rate: 94%
Proven tennis bettor faded
A proven 79% winner with positive lifetime P&L bought Hamad, and despite the market moving against him this is notable because users can now enter far below his 68¢ price.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $23.6K lifetime across $1.0M invested.
- He has traded across 54 related events with the same 79% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- He bought Hamad at 68¢, while the market is now around 46¢, giving a much cheaper entry than the sharp bettor got.
$3,704 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 78%
Three-wallet Humbert momentum
Three wallets bought the same side as Ugo Humbert’s odds jumped sharply, though the signal is more momentum/flow-driven than proven sharp-wallet driven.
- Three wallets put $8.1K on the same side as Ugo Humbert’s odds moved from about 58–61¢ to 68¢.
- The market moved fast: Humbert jumped 23 percentage points in 4 minutes while Medjedovic fell 31.5 points.
- One participating wallet is up $249K lifetime, though its overall win rate is only 48%.
$8,109 on Ugo Humbert
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 67% resolved win rate and $83k lifetime profit is taking the Ugo Humbert side during a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor wins 67% of resolved trades and is up $83k lifetime.
- They have traded 154 events for $466k total, showing a long-running sports pattern.
- Market volume spiked 27.7x before the match while they bought Ugo at 28¢.
$1,976 on Ugo Humbert | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports bettor bought Hamad Medjedovic amid a major pre-event volume spike and the price has already moved in their favor.
- This bettor has won 69% of 1,483 resolved trades and is up about $29.7K lifetime.
- They put $6.9K on Hamad Medjedovic at 69¢, and the market has already moved to 74¢.
- Volume is running 27.7x above normal, with Hamad’s odds up 35 points in the past day.
$6,900 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 96736803, $139,685 (96% win rate)
- 0xddf4...2680 — Outcome 96736803, $21,244 (93% win rate)
- 0xb517...06dd — Outcome 96736803, $10,000 (69% win rate)
- 0x927c...6633 — Outcome 96736803, $5,284 (89% win rate)
- 0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 96736803, $4,291 (81% win rate)
- 0x9d94...017d — Outcome 96736803, $3,577
- 0xff81...44c9 — Outcome 96736803, $3,367 (56% win rate)
- 0x749e...1090 — Outcome 96736803, $2,500 (100% win rate)
- 0xf5d3...e1df — Outcome 96736803, $2,089 (76% win rate)
- 0x0267...7f7e — Outcome 96736803, $1,908 (70% win rate)
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