USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?
This prediction market asks whether USD.AI’s token will have a fully diluted valuation above $400 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after its launch. For this market, a launch only counts once the token is publicly transferable and actively tradable, and FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price. The market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027, based on the official resolution source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of USD.AI's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If USD.AI (https://usd.ai/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,362.
Categories: Pre-Market, USD.AI, Crypto, fdv
Notable Trades
Event thesis bettor
Worth surfacing because the wallet has a decent early track record and is pressing a correlated thesis across the same event into a market seeing an extreme volume and price surge.
- This wallet has won 67% of 15 resolved bets and is up about $6.3k overall.
- They just put $7.3k into Yes while this event saw a 305x volume spike and the price jumped about 50% in a day.
- The bettor is trading multiple markets tied to the same launch, which suggests a coordinated view rather than a random one-off bet.
$7,274 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%
94% winner buying rebound
A wallet with a 94% hit rate is taking a fresh cross-market position here by effectively buying Yes at 68¢ after a sharp move, making this worth watching despite the niche token-launch market.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades across 96 markets, which makes their new position worth tracking
- They sold No at 32¢, which is the same as buying Yes at 68¢ after a big 29-point market swing
- The market has real activity with $36.7k in 24h volume and a 28% one-day move, so this is not just random small-cap noise
$4,468 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Breakout buyer in crypto market
A trader bought into a sharp breakout on a fast-moving crypto launch market after a 40-point price expansion, which is notable despite the wallet's only average long-term track record.
- The market has surged hard, with Yes up 34% in 1 day and this buy came during a 40-point breakout beyond its prior range.
- This $1.6k buy is meaningful versus the market's recent activity and landed at 54¢ while momentum was still strong.
- The wallet's record is only average, but the price action and thin recent trading make this move worth watching.
$1,620 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 48%
Top Holders
- 0xf97e...0034 — Yes, $22,680 (100% win rate)
- 0xed4d...d601 — No, $16,000
- 0x9963...1674 — Yes, $11,542 (94% win rate)
- 0x9f9c...34d9 — Yes, $10,901 (44% win rate)
- 0xe51e...5e7f — Yes, $10,406 (67% win rate)
- 0xb1ca...1705 — No, $8,570 (100% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — No, $8,415 (80% win rate)
- 0x0826...0b32 — No, $7,550 (60% win rate)
- 0x3bd8...cd6c — Yes, $6,761 (61% win rate)
- 0x1fe4...afbb — Yes, $6,605
