Part of: 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $74,462.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga

Notable Trades

Serial timer with $6.4M P&L

A highly profitable serial timer with a 73% win rate and $6.4M P&L bought Under 1.4 minutes before resolution on a spiking live soccer total, a strong signal of real-time edge.

  • This bettor wins 73% of 3,502 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime.
  • They placed a $7.0k bet just 1.4 minutes before resolution, and they have 24 near-resolution bets with a strong positive edge.
  • Market volume was running 52x above normal, suggesting informed live action around this game total.

$7,040 on Under | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable serial live bettor

A highly profitable serial timer with a 77% win rate made a $16.1k live bet just 3.4 minutes before resolution in a spiking Bundesliga total-goals market.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved markets and is up $912k on $5.1M invested
  • They repeatedly bet near the end of live markets: 20 late bets across 14 markets with a measured edge
  • They bought Over at 52¢ with $16.1k as market activity ran 52x above normal

$16,094 on Over | Wallet win rate: 77%

Profitable late-game sports bettor

A profitable serial sports trader with a 66% win rate bought Over less than 2 minutes before resolution into a massive volume spike, suggesting a live-betting edge worth tracking.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 96 resolved markets and is up $323k overall.
  • They bought Over with 1.8 minutes left, a pattern that can signal a live information edge in sports.
  • The market saw a 52x volume spike, so this bet landed during unusually aggressive late action.

$2,691 on Over | Wallet win rate: 66%

93% win-rate soccer bettor

A small but notable late bet from a bettor with a 93% win rate and strong edge, placed into a market seeing an unusual pre-match volume surge.

  • This bettor wins 93% of their resolved trades and is up $34.5k on nearly $75k invested
  • They bought Under at 48¢, a near even-money price where their past results suggest a real edge
  • This market saw a 52x jump in activity before kickoff, adding context that sharp money may be positioning

$985 on Under | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp bettor buys Under

A highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 73% win rate and $6.4M profit just put nearly $9.7k on Under at 49¢, making this a follow-worthy sharp play despite only one signal.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 3,502 resolved bets and is up $6.4M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across related events and have handled nearly $9.0M in Polymarket volume
  • Bought Under at 49¢ in a tight, liquid market, suggesting they see the total as slightly mispriced

$9,699 on Under | Wallet win rate: 73%

Pro sports sharp at 51¢

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and $6.4M P&L just put $6k on Over at 51¢ in a liquid Bundesliga totals market.

  • This bettor has won 2,539 of 3,501 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
  • They trade across many related markets with scale — 1,178 markets across 979 events and nearly $9.0M deployed
  • Buying Over at 51¢ is close to a coin flip price, suggesting they see value rather than chasing a blown-out move

$6,003 on Over | Wallet win rate: 73%

97% win-rate bettor

A bettor with an exceptional proven record is buying Over at roughly even odds, making this small but high-signal trade worth surfacing despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 97% of their trades with 57 wins in 59 resolved bets
  • They are up about $75k on $161k invested, which makes this even-odds entry worth watching
  • Bought Over at 51¢, a price that suggests they see the game as better than a coin flip

$1,019 on Over | Wallet win rate: 97%

89% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 89% win rate and $1.38M P&L is making a fresh $5.1k buy on Over at 51¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 89% of their resolved trades and is up $1.38M lifetime.
  • They have traded 124 markets across 106 events, so this looks like a proven repeat edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Bought Over at 51¢, close to even odds, suggesting they see the total goals line as mispriced.

$5,076 on Over | Wallet win rate: 89%

89% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 89% win rate and $1.38M P&L just placed an $8.9k fresh bet on Over at even odds.

  • This bettor wins 89% of their resolved trades and is up $1.38M overall.
  • They trade heavily across 106 events and 124 markets, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
  • Bought Over at 50¢, a clean even-money entry in a major soccer market.

$8,865 on Over | Wallet win rate: 89%

94% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate and nearly $98k in realized profit is opening a fresh position on Under 3.5 at 51¢.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up about $97.6k across 138 bets.
  • They have a broad repeat pattern across 29 separate events, which suggests a real process rather than a one-off hit.
  • They bought Under at 51¢, close to even odds, implying they see the total as mispriced.

$1,508 on Under | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 10592646, $27,242 (73% win rate)
  2. 0x4912...b76f Outcome 10592646, $10,000 (90% win rate)
  3. 0x7236...ea53 Outcome 10592646, $7,882 (83% win rate)
  4. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 10592646, $6,428 (55% win rate)
  5. 0xc95b...f819 Outcome 10592646, $6,153 (95% win rate)
  6. 0x5af4...183c Outcome 10592646, $6,097 (92% win rate)
  7. 0x374a...03ed Outcome 10592646, $5,912 (96% win rate)
  8. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 10592646, $5,501 (74% win rate)
  9. 0xcf6c...7e66 Outcome 10592646, $5,125 (80% win rate)
  10. 0x0d13...92f3 Outcome 10592646, $4,180 (88% win rate)

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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

Resolved1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München - More Markets$74,462 tracked13 signalsSportsGamesSoccerbundesliga

In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 25 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

17d ago

$7,040 on Under at 48¢

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

17d ago

$16,094 on Over at 52¢

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

17d ago

$2,691 on Over at 52¢

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

17d ago

$985 on Under at 48¢

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

17d ago

$9,699 on Under at 49¢

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

17d ago

$6,003 on Over at 51¢

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

17d ago

$1,019 on Over at 51¢

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

17d ago

$5,076 on Over at 51¢

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

17d ago

$8,865 on Over at 50¢

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

17d ago

$1,508 on Under at 51¢

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

17d ago

$12,780 on Under at 48¢

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

17d ago

$1,576 on Under at 51¢

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5

17d ago

$1,127 on Over at 48¢

Related Theses