Part of: Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

This Polymarket prediction market covers the Game 2 winner between Natus Vincere and Aurora in the Dota 2 DreamLeague Playoffs Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4. It resolves to the team that wins Game 2, with smart money activity tracked at $5,755 across 2 signals and recent sharp-flow alerts on both Aurora and NAVI. The market is scheduled to resolve on May 19, 2026, after the Game 2 result is determined.

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Natus Vincere and Aurora in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 19 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

18 smart money signals detected, totaling $110,162.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

91% serial sharp

A highly profitable 91% win-rate wallet with a long serial cross-market track record bought Aurora at 79¢ before the market moved to 100¢.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $71,445 lifetime.
  • They have traded 68 markets across 53 events with the same 91% win rate.
  • Aurora was bought at 79¢ and has already moved to 100¢, confirming strong timing.

$1,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 91%

92% win-rate esports sharp

A highly profitable 92% win-rate wallet bought Aurora at 79¢ and the market has since moved to 100¢, confirming the sharp signal but making it hard to chase now.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $192K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 75 events with a 92% hit rate.
  • Bought Aurora at 79¢ before the market moved to 100¢.

$1,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 92%

76% serial cross-market winner

Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 76% resolved win rate and $170k lifetime profit bought Aurora at 83¢ before it moved to 100¢.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $170,631 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 78 events and 105 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
  • They bought Aurora at 83¢ before the market moved to 100¢.

$1,174 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable serial esports trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Aurora at 33¢ before it moved to 100%, showing a strong live esports read despite only a moderate standalone signal.

  • This bettor has traded across 73 events and is up $130K lifetime.
  • They bought Aurora at 33¢ before the market moved to 100%.
  • The wallet has a large history with 1,314 resolved bets and a 60% win rate.

$1,892 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial esports bettor

A proven serial cross-market bettor with a 76% resolved win rate and $170k profit bought Aurora, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $170,631 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 78 events and 104 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
  • Aurora was bought at 90¢, but the market has since fallen to 26¢, making this a notable sharp-versus-market disagreement.

$2,232 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 75%

93% winner faded Aurora

A profitable 93% winner effectively bought Natus Vincere at 20¢ before the market surged toward them, with a supporting volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $5.4K lifetime.
  • They sold Aurora at 80¢, effectively buying Natus Vincere at 20¢ before NAVI moved to 74¢.
  • Market volume spiked 12.4x, backing the sharp move.

$3,523 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 93%

91% winner caught Aurora move

Sharp esports bettor with a 91% win rate bought Aurora at 58¢ before a major move to 77¢, supported by cross-market history and price impact.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $71k lifetime.
  • They bought Aurora at 58¢ before the market jumped to 77¢.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 53 events with the same 91% hit rate.

$1,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable serial esports bettor

A proven profitable esports bettor with a 79% win rate bought Aurora amid a sharp price move and volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $65,870 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 40 events, with the same 79% win rate.
  • Aurora has moved up about 24 points with an 11x volume spike, and this wallet bought at 76¢.

$1,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 79%

92% winner buying Aurora

Surface because this is a highly profitable sharp wallet with a 92% resolved win rate and extensive cross-market history buying Aurora despite the market pulling back after entry.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $166,666 lifetime.
  • They are a serial esports cross-market trader with 69 prior events and $252,042 tracked volume.
  • Aurora was bought at 87¢ after a sharp price move, and the market has since pulled back to about 77¢.

$4,350 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 92%

93% winner buying momentum

Sharp esports bettor with a 93% resolved-bet win rate bought Aurora amid a major upward price move and pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 13 of 14 resolved bets and is up $5.4K lifetime.
  • They bought $3.5K of Aurora at 79¢ as the market moved sharply toward Aurora.
  • Volume is running 11x above normal, suggesting broader pre-match momentum behind the same side.

$3,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6049...f14f Aurora, $86,432
  2. 0xe16d...5e30 Natus Vincere, $61,790 (96% win rate)
  3. 0xfbf3...b218 Natus Vincere, $38,402 (44% win rate)
  4. 0x86e9...4cdf Natus Vincere, $33,027 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x67bb...b6ef Natus Vincere, $28,468 (62% win rate)
  6. 0xffe9...a70e Natus Vincere, $27,700 (47% win rate)
  7. 0xd3b0...329e Aurora, $27,500 (61% win rate)
  8. 0x9eca...5a59 Aurora, $21,745 (91% win rate)
  9. 0x3833...33d1 Aurora, $20,000 (98% win rate)
  10. 0x823d...189d Natus Vincere, $19,990 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

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Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$110,162 tracked18 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
Natus Vincere
0¢
Aurora
100¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Natus Vincere and Aurora in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 19 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Aurora
102¢
76¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

1d ago

$1,500 on Aurora at 79¢

79¢100¢21¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

1d ago

$1,500 on Aurora at 79¢

79¢100¢21¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

1d ago

$1,174 on Aurora at 83¢

83¢100¢17¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

1d ago

$1,892 on Aurora at 33¢

33¢100¢67¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

1d ago

$2,232 on Aurora at 90¢

90¢100¢10¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

1d ago

$3,523 on Natus Vincere at 20¢

20¢0¢20¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

1d ago

$1,500 on Aurora at 58¢

58¢100¢42¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

1d ago

$1,500 on Aurora at 76¢

76¢100¢24¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

1d ago

$4,350 on Aurora at 87¢

87¢100¢13¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

1d ago

$3,500 on Aurora at 79¢

79¢100¢21¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

1d ago

$2,863 on Natus Vincere at 41¢

41¢0¢41¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

1d ago

$1,100 on Natus Vincere at 42¢

42¢0¢42¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

1d ago

$17,000 on Natus Vincere at 51¢

51¢0¢51¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

1d ago

$1,106 on Natus Vincere at 45¢

45¢0¢45¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

1d ago

$10,000 on Natus Vincere at 52¢

52¢0¢52¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

1d ago

$31,422 on Aurora at 55¢

55¢100¢45¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

1d ago

$15,000 on Natus Vincere at 51¢

51¢0¢51¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

1d ago

$9,000 on Natus Vincere at 50¢

50¢0¢50¢

Related Theses