Part of: Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Game 2 winner between Natus Vincere and Aurora in the Dota 2 DreamLeague Playoffs Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4. It resolves to the team that wins Game 2, with smart money activity tracked at $5,755 across 2 signals and recent sharp-flow alerts on both Aurora and NAVI. The market is scheduled to resolve on May 19, 2026, after the Game 2 result is determined.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Natus Vincere and Aurora in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 19 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $110,162.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
91% serial sharp
A highly profitable 91% win-rate wallet with a long serial cross-market track record bought Aurora at 79¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $71,445 lifetime.
- They have traded 68 markets across 53 events with the same 91% win rate.
- Aurora was bought at 79¢ and has already moved to 100¢, confirming strong timing.
$1,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 91%
92% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable 92% win-rate wallet bought Aurora at 79¢ and the market has since moved to 100¢, confirming the sharp signal but making it hard to chase now.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $192K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 75 events with a 92% hit rate.
- Bought Aurora at 79¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
$1,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 92%
76% serial cross-market winner
Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 76% resolved win rate and $170k lifetime profit bought Aurora at 83¢ before it moved to 100¢.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $170,631 lifetime.
- They have traded across 78 events and 105 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- They bought Aurora at 83¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
$1,174 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable serial esports trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Aurora at 33¢ before it moved to 100%, showing a strong live esports read despite only a moderate standalone signal.
- This bettor has traded across 73 events and is up $130K lifetime.
- They bought Aurora at 33¢ before the market moved to 100%.
- The wallet has a large history with 1,314 resolved bets and a 60% win rate.
$1,892 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A proven serial cross-market bettor with a 76% resolved win rate and $170k profit bought Aurora, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $170,631 lifetime.
- They have traded across 78 events and 104 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Aurora was bought at 90¢, but the market has since fallen to 26¢, making this a notable sharp-versus-market disagreement.
$2,232 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 75%
93% winner faded Aurora
A profitable 93% winner effectively bought Natus Vincere at 20¢ before the market surged toward them, with a supporting volume spike.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $5.4K lifetime.
- They sold Aurora at 80¢, effectively buying Natus Vincere at 20¢ before NAVI moved to 74¢.
- Market volume spiked 12.4x, backing the sharp move.
$3,523 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 93%
91% winner caught Aurora move
Sharp esports bettor with a 91% win rate bought Aurora at 58¢ before a major move to 77¢, supported by cross-market history and price impact.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $71k lifetime.
- They bought Aurora at 58¢ before the market jumped to 77¢.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 53 events with the same 91% hit rate.
$1,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable serial esports bettor
A proven profitable esports bettor with a 79% win rate bought Aurora amid a sharp price move and volume spike.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $65,870 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 40 events, with the same 79% win rate.
- Aurora has moved up about 24 points with an 11x volume spike, and this wallet bought at 76¢.
$1,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 79%
92% winner buying Aurora
Surface because this is a highly profitable sharp wallet with a 92% resolved win rate and extensive cross-market history buying Aurora despite the market pulling back after entry.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $166,666 lifetime.
- They are a serial esports cross-market trader with 69 prior events and $252,042 tracked volume.
- Aurora was bought at 87¢ after a sharp price move, and the market has since pulled back to about 77¢.
$4,350 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 92%
93% winner buying momentum
Sharp esports bettor with a 93% resolved-bet win rate bought Aurora amid a major upward price move and pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 13 of 14 resolved bets and is up $5.4K lifetime.
- They bought $3.5K of Aurora at 79¢ as the market moved sharply toward Aurora.
- Volume is running 11x above normal, suggesting broader pre-match momentum behind the same side.
$3,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0x6049...f14f — Aurora, $86,432
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Natus Vincere, $61,790 (96% win rate)
- 0xfbf3...b218 — Natus Vincere, $38,402 (44% win rate)
- 0x86e9...4cdf — Natus Vincere, $33,027 (100% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Natus Vincere, $28,468 (62% win rate)
- 0xffe9...a70e — Natus Vincere, $27,700 (47% win rate)
- 0xd3b0...329e — Aurora, $27,500 (61% win rate)
- 0x9eca...5a59 — Aurora, $21,745 (91% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Aurora, $20,000 (98% win rate)
- 0x823d...189d — Natus Vincere, $19,990 (100% win rate)
