Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
52 signals across 3 markets · $273,335 tracked · resolves May 19, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds for the Dota 2 DreamLeague Playoffs best-of-three between Natus Vincere and Aurora. Traders are pricing the match winner, with PolySpotter tracking $2,000 in smart money and a notable signal showing a 96% winner backing the underdog.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp cluster bought Aurora
A large Aurora cluster is worth surfacing because several highly profitable esports bettors with 91–99% historical win rates bought before a major move from the mid-50s to 90%.
$31,422Score: 34.0 - Sharp cluster buying Aurora
Strong one-sided Aurora flow from six wallets includes multiple highly profitable esports bettors with 79%–92% win rates and a rapid 14-point price move.
$12,635Score: 29.6 - 96% sharp buying favorite fade
Elite 96% win-rate wallet with $2.39M lifetime profit bought $17k of Natus Vincere, alongside strong same-side flow and cross-market positioning.
$17,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 22.1 - 92% winner backs underdog
A highly profitable 92% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Natus Vincere alongside one-sided flow, despite the market moving sharply against that outcome.
$1,050Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 20.9 - Elite sharp on underdog
Elite 97% win-rate wallet bought Natus Vincere at 41¢ alongside one-sided flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.
$2,863Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 19.0 - Sharp cluster piled into favorite
Strong one-sided Natus Vincere flow from seven wallets includes two exceptionally profitable sharp bettors and coincides with a major pre-event price move from the high-50s/low-60s to 94%.
$17,390Score: 17.9 - 96% sharp scaling in
Elite 96% win-rate wallet with $2.39M lifetime profit bought $30k of Natus Vincere amid a major pre-event volume spike.
$30,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 17.8 - 96% winner backing NAVI
Elite 96% win-rate esports bettor with $2.39M lifetime profit bought $15k of Natus Vincere at 51¢ amid heavy same-event positioning and a major volume spike.
$15,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 17.5 - 95% winner backs underdog
Sharp esports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate bought Natus Vincere amid one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
$2,950Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 16.9 - 98% winner backs Aurora
Elite 98% winner with $4.05M profit bought Aurora, aligned with a 9-wallet one-sided push and major pre-event volume spike.
$3,776Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 15.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe16d3f…5e30$104,500 · 3 markets · 10 alerts · 96% wins
- 0x41830c…96bf$18,000 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 100% wins
- 0xa1e49d…4f8a$7,195 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 92% wins
- 0xe4f6b3…f51c$7,023 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0xf07020…ac55$6,251 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x823d57…189d$4,985 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x8c0b02…7aa5$4,533 · 1 market · 1 alert · 57% wins
- 0xa7425e…68c5$4,350 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x82d2e4…beea$3,878 · 1 market · 1 alert · 60% wins
- 0x38337d…33d1$3,776 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
FAQs
What are the Natus Vincere vs Aurora odds on Polymarket?
The Polymarket event prices which team will win the BO3 match: Natus Vincere or Aurora. Odds move as traders buy and sell shares, so the live market reflects the crowd’s current implied probability for each side.
What is the smart money doing on Natus Vincere vs Aurora?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,000 in smart money across this event, including a notable alert that a 96% historical winner backed the underdog. That can be useful context, but it is not a guarantee of the match outcome.
Is this a single market or a full event hub?
This hub covers the Natus Vincere vs Aurora DreamLeague Playoffs event as a whole. The child market resolves based on which team wins the best-of-three match.
When does the Natus Vincere vs Aurora market resolve?
The market is scheduled around the May 19 DreamLeague Playoffs match and is expected to resolve after a winner is determined. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market rules window, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated rules.