Part of: Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether two SpaceX Starships will physically dock together in stable Earth orbit for at least 60 continuous seconds by December 31, 2026. PolySpotter tracks the market’s live Polymarket odds along with smart money activity, including $1,600 tracked and 1 recent smart money signal.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface. The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,600.

Categories: SpaceX, space exploration, starship, Big Tech, Tech, launch, Elon Musk, Space

Notable Trades

Perfect-record serial trader

Serial cross-market wallet with 31 straight resolved wins is buying No on a relatively quiet SpaceX market after a sharp Yes move.

  • This bettor has won all 31 resolved bets and has traded across 25 different events.
  • They are fading a 9-point move toward Yes by buying No at 70¢.
  • The $1.6k buy is meaningful in a market with only $5.4k traded in the last day.

$1,600 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcc03...d5c0 No, $2,640 (71% win rate)
  2. 0x40c5...5cba Yes, $698
  3. 0xdb7e...2205 Yes, $508
  4. 0xc602...7fc1 Yes, $325 (43% win rate)
  5. 0xd5b9...e44e Yes, $265 (59% win rate)
  6. 0x21ff...0d71 Yes, $252
  7. 0x687d...e28b No, $203 (60% win rate)
  8. 0xa532...cc03 Yes, $197
  9. 0x529d...6381 Yes, $100
  10. 0x1cdd...e595 Yes, $96

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Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?

128dTwo SpaceX Starships dock together by…?$1,600 tracked1 signalSpaceXspace explorationstarshipBig TechTechlaunchElon MuskSpace
Yes
12¢
No
89¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface. The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “No
90¢
89¢
87¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?

69d ago

$1,600 on No at 70¢

70¢89¢19¢

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