What does the “Ebola case in the US by June 30” market predict?

It predicts whether at least one confirmed Ebola case will be reported in the territory of the United States between the market’s creation and June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.

What counts as a qualifying Ebola case for this market?

Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory qualifies, regardless of where the person was exposed, when symptoms began, or where testing occurred.

How will this Polymarket Ebola market resolve?

The market will resolve to Yes if a confirmed Ebola case in U.S. territory is reported by the deadline. If no qualifying case is reported, it resolves to No. Official government information, such as CDC reporting, is the primary resolution source.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking?

PolySpotter currently shows $2,403 in smart money tracked and 1 smart money signal for this market, with recent alerts including rare-event Yes buying and No-side whale activity.

Where can I see the latest Ebola prediction market odds?

You can use PolySpotter to monitor the live Polymarket odds, smart money signals, and recent whale activity for the Ebola case in the U.S. by June 30 market.

Part of: Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

This prediction market asks whether any laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection will be reported within U.S. territory by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is expected to rely on official government sources such as the CDC, and PolySpotter currently tracks $2,403 in smart money activity across 1 signal for this market. Check the live market for the latest Yes/No odds and recent whale positioning.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,091.

Categories: Hantavirus, Weather, Ebola

Notable Trades

86% winner buying NO

Surface due to sharp-wallet override: a profitable 86% winner bought No on a relatively quiet market despite only a weak low-activity signal.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $8,570 lifetime.
They put $2.4K on No in a quiet market with only about $4K–$7K traded in the last day.
Buying at 81¢ suggests a lower-risk conviction bet against a U.S. Ebola case by the deadline.

$2,403 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

New whale buying rare-event Yes

A 6-day-old repeat large bettor took a $5.6k contrarian Yes position on a niche Ebola market, equivalent to buying Yes at 22¢.

A 6-day-old wallet has now placed over $10.5k in flagged large bets.
This trade is a $5.6k bet against the 82¢ No side, equivalent to buying Yes at 22¢.
The bet is large relative to the market’s $7.3k daily volume, suggesting real conviction.

$5,619 on Yes

Brand-new NO whale

Brand-new wallet placed a $4.9k NO bet on a relatively quiet Ebola market, exceeding recent 24h volume and suggesting fresh conviction.

A wallet created 13 minutes earlier put $4.9k on NO in one trade.
The bet was larger than the market’s recent 24h volume, standing out in a quiet order book.
Entry at 68¢ implies they see limited chance of a confirmed U.S. Ebola case by June 30.

$4,910 on No