Part of: Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

This prediction market asks whether the Trump administration will declassify any previously unavailable files related to extraterrestrial life or unexplained aerial phenomena by May 31 at 11:59 PM ET. PolySpotter currently tracks $2,610 in smart money activity on this market, with a recent alert showing a repeat new wallet taking the NO side. The market’s listed resolution date is June 30, 2026, when the outcome should be finalized based on the declassification criteria.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,610.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Trump, Aliens

Notable Trades

Repeat new wallet on NO

A 22-day-old repeat large bettor is taking the No side in a very quiet market after a sharp one-day move against Yes.

  • This new wallet has now been flagged 3 times, with $10.7k in notable bets despite being only 22 days old.
  • The $2.6k No buy was 58% of the market’s 24h volume, showing meaningful conviction in a quiet market.
  • Yes odds have fallen 19 points in a day, and this trade is adding to that No-side momentum.

$2,610 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0x0482...6b0a Yes, $3,837 (32% win rate)
  2. 0x392b...352a No, $3,000
  3. 0x4699...e03c No, $2,040 (97% win rate)
  4. 0xe617...f251 No, $2,022 (95% win rate)
  5. 0x0bfb...26a7 Yes, $1,505
  6. 0xb4c5...378a Yes, $1,414
  7. 0x5e84...8e88 No, $1,149 (86% win rate)
  8. 0x54a7...881b No, $1,000 (94% win rate)
  9. 0x7c9e...db3d Yes, $1,000
  10. 0x3e26...3edf Yes, $909

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

30dTrump declassifies new UFO files by...?$2,610 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTrumpAliens
Yes
1¢
No
99¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Price History — “No
101¢
72¢
44¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

1d ago

$2,610 on No at 87¢

87¢99¢12¢