Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

19 smart money signals detected, totaling $186,369.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Proven bettor fading favorite

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate sold MOUZ at 79¢, which translates into a buy on Aurora at 21¢ and is notable despite the modest size because the wallet has a long proven record across 258 events.

  • This bettor has a long record: 73% wins across 1,226 resolved bets and $750k invested
  • They sold the heavy favorite at 79¢, which is equivalent to buying Aurora around 21¢
  • The wallet trades across many related markets — 258 events and 434 markets — suggesting a repeatable sports betting edge

$1,514 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 73%

Sharp cluster backing Aurora

Two extremely successful high-volume wallets and a third profitable serial trader all aligned on Aurora Gaming, entering around 47-50¢ before the market moved down to 30¢.

  • Two bettors in this cluster win 91-93% of their resolved trades and are up more than $2.8M combined.
  • All three wallets ended up on Aurora Gaming, with entries around 47-50¢ while Aurora now trades at 30¢.
  • These wallets are active across dozens to hundreds of events, which makes the shared position more worth tracking than a random esports bet.

$5,979 on Aurora Gaming

New wallet caught early move

A very new wallet joined a 3-wallet one-sided push into MOUZ at 52¢, and the market has since moved sharply to 74%, suggesting early directional edge despite limited wallet history.

  • This 1-day-old wallet bought MOUZ at 52¢ and the market is now 74%
  • Three wallets all bet MOUZ in the same window, adding up to about $3.3k of one-way flow
  • The bet landed well below current odds, implying they saw a clear mispricing before the move

$1,084 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 89%

91% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 91% win rate bought Aurora at 50¢, and the market has since moved in their favor to 42¢.

  • This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up $1.13M across 191 resolved positions
  • They have traded 339 markets across 316 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought Aurora at 50¢ and the market is now 42¢, giving early confirmation the position was well timed

$3,533 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 90%

93% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable sharp bettor with a 93% win rate bought Aurora at 41¢ during a major pre-match volume spike, and the price has already moved up to 49¢.

  • This bettor wins 93% of their resolved trades and is up about $1.7M lifetime
  • They bought Aurora at 41¢ and the market has already moved to 49¢, showing immediate follow-through
  • This wallet has traded 379 markets across 311 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet

$2,566 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp bettor joins MOUZ pile-in

A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 77% win rate joined a 4-wallet one-sided push into MOUZ during a major pre-match volume spike, making this a credible directional signal.

  • This bettor wins 77% of their trades and is up $3.5M across 83 resolved bets.
  • Four wallets bought MOUZ together for $29.7k, pointing to shared conviction on the same side.
  • They entered at 60¢ before the market moved to 63¢, during a 52x surge in trading activity.

$5,928 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 81%

Winning bettor joins MOUZ wave

A profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a 4-wallet, $29.7k one-sided push into MOUZ during a major volume spike, making this a copy-worthy momentum signal.

  • This bettor wins 73% of their resolved trades and is up nearly $14k across 91 settled bets
  • 4 wallets piled into MOUZ for $29.7k total as market activity jumped 51.8x above normal
  • They bought at 62¢ with MOUZ now around 63¢, showing coordinated conviction rather than a lone bet

$1,464 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 69%

93% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 93% win rate bought Aurora alongside 3 other wallets during a major pre-match volume surge, making this underdog entry worth following.

  • This bettor wins 93% of their trades and is up about $1.7M across 198 resolved positions.
  • Four wallets all bought Aurora Gaming, with $7.6k total landing on the same side during a 67.6x volume spike.
  • The buy came at 39¢ on the underdog, suggesting they see Aurora as materially better than the market's 38% price.

$2,561 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 94%

3-wallet MOUZ surge

Three wallets piled into MOUZ within minutes at 50-60¢ and the price has already moved to 70¢, making this coordinated buy burst worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.

  • Three wallets bought MOUZ within 6 minutes at 50-60¢, and the market is already up to 70¢
  • One wallet is up $142k lifetime across 2,057 resolved bets, adding some credibility to the cluster
  • They entered well below the current price, implying they saw MOUZ as clearly mispriced before the move

$3,275 on MOUZ

Sharp-led Aurora cluster

A 4-wallet cluster bought Aurora around 39-40¢, led by a bettor with a 93% win rate and $1.7M profit, making this coordinated underdog position worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.

  • A bettor who wins 93% of their trades and is up $1.7M led this Aurora buying around 39-40¢
  • Four wallets piled into the same side for $9.1k in minutes, showing coordinated conviction on the underdog
  • Aurora was bought near 39¢ while the market now sits around 37¢, a low-priced entry if their read is right

$9,123 on Aurora Gaming

Top Holders

  1. 0x5d58...9a15 Outcome 47197838, $508,974 (90% win rate)
  2. 0x0dcf...c556 Outcome 47197838, $59,247 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x7d11...99ca Outcome 47197838, $14,518 (89% win rate)
  4. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 47197838, $11,669
  5. 0x8fbb...9a17 Outcome 47197838, $10,438 (72% win rate)
  6. 0x1d5c...4f26 Outcome 47197838, $4,405 (69% win rate)
  7. 0xf559...f462 Outcome 47197838, $3,776 (90% win rate)
  8. 0xf988...d63b Outcome 47197838, $3,730 (84% win rate)
  9. 0xb0f0...e926 Outcome 47197838, $3,077
  10. 0xbb64...bfdc Outcome 47197838, $2,564 (70% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 9 related markets

Spirit wins after dropping Game 1

Covers 3 related markets

G2 wins in five

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

ResolvedCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B$186,369 tracked19 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 14 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

42d ago

$1,514 on Aurora Gaming at 21¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

42d ago

$5,979 on Aurora Gaming at 53¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

42d ago

$1,084 on MOUZ at 52¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

42d ago

$3,533 on Aurora Gaming at 50¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

42d ago

$2,566 on Aurora Gaming at 41¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

42d ago

$5,928 on MOUZ at 60¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

42d ago

$1,464 on MOUZ at 62¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

42d ago

$2,561 on Aurora Gaming at 39¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

42d ago

$3,275 on MOUZ at 54¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

42d ago

$9,123 on Aurora Gaming at 39¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

42d ago

$128,113 on Aurora Gaming at 39¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

42d ago

$2,144 on MOUZ at 63¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

43d ago

$2,238 on Aurora Gaming at 38¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

43d ago

$8,843 on MOUZ at 62¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

43d ago

$1,473 on Aurora Gaming at 39¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

43d ago

$1,455 on Aurora Gaming at 39¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

43d ago

$1,974 on MOUZ at 61¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

43d ago

$1,906 on MOUZ at 59¢

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

43d ago

$1,196 on MOUZ at 58¢

Related Theses