Part of: Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,347.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

New profitable wallet chasing breakout

A brand-new wallet with early profit is making repeat sizable bets into a major upward move on the Guardians spread.

  • This wallet is only 2 hours old but is already up $1,057 across 7 positions.
  • The bet follows a sharp move in Cleveland from the mid-40¢ range to the low-70¢ range.
  • The $1,603 buy at 75¢ adds to repeat flagged activity from the same new bettor.

$1,603 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 50%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a long track record is buying Cleveland -1.5 at 44¢, though the trade size is modest in a liquid market.

  • This bettor has traded across 180 events and is up $555k lifetime.
  • They win 62% of resolved bets across 194 markets, a strong record for sports-style markets.
  • Entry at 44¢ implies they see Cleveland -1.5 as mispriced with roughly 2.3x upside.

$2,244 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 62%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large sample is buying Cleveland -1.5 minutes before first pitch at 45¢.

  • This bettor has a 67% record across 584 resolved trades and is up $34K lifetime.
  • They have traded 29 related events for $85K total, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
  • The $2.5K buy came 3 minutes before the scheduled start at 45¢, implying they see value on Cleveland winning by 2+ runs.

$2,500 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 67%

96% winner backs spread

Sharp sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and $1.46M lifetime profit bought $10k of Cleveland -1.5 at 46¢ on a relatively quiet MLB spread market.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.46M lifetime.
  • They put $10,000 on Cleveland -1.5 at 46¢, a large single bet for this market.
  • Entry at 46¢ implies they see better than even value on Cleveland winning by 2+ runs.

$10,000 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbd14...d62a Outcome 55155594, $21,875 (96% win rate)
  2. 0x8a26...937e Outcome 55155594, $16,732 (67% win rate)
  3. 0x3625...1187 Outcome 55155594, $5,556 (98% win rate)
  4. 0xe1a2...14b8 Outcome 55155594, $5,100 (62% win rate)
  5. 0x17b6...0bf6 Outcome 55155594, $2,137 (50% win rate)
  6. 0x5b62...d87f Outcome 47856198, $1,000
  7. 0x8180...208b Outcome 55155594, $757 (93% win rate)
  8. 0x81b0...858c Outcome 55155594, $543
  9. 0xd52c...6c59 Outcome 55155594, $435
  10. 0x9e4a...5ba6 Outcome 55155594, $267

Related Theses

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Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

ResolvedWashington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians$16,347 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for May 27 at 1:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

WSH
2
29-28
Final
CLE
3
33-25
WSH +148CLE -180O/U 7.5
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Attendance
19,559
Price History — “Washington Nationals
57¢
55¢
52¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

3h ago

$1,603 on Cleveland Guardians at 75¢

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

5h ago

$2,244 on Cleveland Guardians at 44¢

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

5h ago

$2,500 on Cleveland Guardians at 45¢

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

14h ago

$10,000 on Cleveland Guardians at 46¢

Related Theses

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) | PolySpotter