Part of: Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?
16 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,415,211.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL
Notable Trades
Perfect-record cluster fading favorite
Strong linked-wallet cluster is fading Manchester United, including a perfect-record high-profit bettor and serial cross-market wallets, though some selling may be position-closing rather than a fresh short.
- A 25-for-25 bettor with $957k profit is part of this fade of the favorite.
- Linked wallets sold $21.8k of Yes, which is equivalent to buying No on Manchester United.
- The move already pushed Yes down from 86¢ to 66¢, showing real market impact.
$21,768 on No
91% winner riding momentum
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 91% resolved-bet win rate bought $8k of Yes as the market moved sharply upward.
- This bettor has won 91% of 963 resolved bets and is up about $2.17M lifetime.
- They bought $8k of Yes at 80¢, and the market has already moved to 86¢.
- Yes is up 42 points over the past day, so this trade aligns with strong late momentum.
$8,044 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
99% sports sharp buying Yes
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 99% resolved win record bought Yes as the market moved sharply upward.
- This bettor has won 85 of 86 resolved bets and is up $71.9K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 121 events with a 99% hit rate.
- They bought Yes at 81¢ during a 22-point upward move, suggesting continued confidence despite the rally.
$2,190 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%
Profitable sports bettor caught move
Proven profitable sports bettor bought Man United at 71¢ before a major move to 82¢, though the entry is now meaningfully stale.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $346K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 71¢ before the market moved to 82¢.
- The price has jumped 22 points, so the original edge may be partly gone.
$1,420 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
84% serial cross-market bettor
Surfaceable because a highly active cross-market sports bettor with an 84% resolved win rate bought Yes before a large upward move, though the stake is modest relative to market volume.
- This bettor has won 84% of 546 resolved trades across 211 events.
- They bought Manchester United at 80¢ before the market moved to 86¢.
- Yes has jumped 42 points in the past day, confirming strong momentum behind this side.
$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
94% winner buying YES
Sharp sports wallet with a 94% historical hit rate bought Yes before/alongside a large upward move in Manchester United odds.
- This bettor has won 94% of resolved trades and is up $16.5K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 80¢, just below the current 82¢ market price.
- The Yes price has jumped 39 percentage points today, confirming strong market momentum.
$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
82% winner buying NO
Proven 82% win-rate serial cross-market trader is buying Manchester United No ahead of kickoff amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $41.5K lifetime.
- They have traded across 83 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
- A 114x volume spike hit this market before kickoff, and this wallet is taking the No side at 61¢.
$1,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
New whale backs NO
A 26-day-old repeat whale put roughly $1.4M into this match market, mostly buying No, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.
- A new wallet has now been flagged 71 times after placing over $1.7M in large bets.
- This alert shows about $1.4M traded, with the dominant flow buying No around 61¢.
- Market volume is surging more than 100x its normal pace ahead of resolution.
$1,395,240 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp cluster buying Yes
High-conviction Yes flow from 9 wallets includes several profitable serial sports traders and a 92% winner buying early before a major move to 78%.
- Nine wallets put $55K on Yes, including multiple long-running profitable sports bettors.
- One buyer wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $240K, entering this move as low as 30¢.
- The market has surged about 34 points in a day, so the sharp flow appears to be driving real momentum.
$55,033 on Yes
New whale leaning NO
A 26-day-old repeat whale put over $600k into a liquid soccer market during a major pre-event volume spike, with the latest and largest orders leaning No despite some earlier Yes buys.
- A 26-day-old whale has triggered 61 large-bet alerts, totaling $1.37M flagged so far.
- The latest and largest orders were about $290k on No at 61¢.
- This market saw a 113x volume spike ahead of the match, suggesting heavy pre-game positioning.
$600,806 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x91ee...c5b8 — Outcome 68650162, $2,929,049 (100% win rate)
- 0xd9c4...6f95 — Outcome 68650162, $271,731 (47% win rate)
- 0xb904...c255 — Outcome 68650162, $120,644 (49% win rate)
- 0x3fd9...1ef0 — Outcome 68650162, $99,999 (98% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 68650162, $24,029 (53% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 68650162, $22,054 (73% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 68650162, $16,262 (55% win rate)
- 0x9602...4d02 — Outcome 68650162, $7,028 (85% win rate)
- 0x48fe...b2b6 — Outcome 68650162, $5,000 (59% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 68650162, $3,779
