Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 29 - June 5, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
This Polymarket market asks whether Elon Musk will make 180 to 199 counted X posts between May 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $1,485 in smart money activity across 1 signal, with recent alerts showing both Yes buying and No backing from an 80% winner. The market resolves on June 5, 2026 based on qualifying main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, while ordinary replies do not count.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 29 12:00 PM ET to June 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,438.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)
Notable Trades
80% winner backing No
A positive-P&L bettor with an 80% record sold Yes, equivalent to buying No at 51¢, though this appears to close a prior Yes position.
- This bettor has won 8 of 10 resolved bets and is up $2,930 lifetime.
- They sold Yes at 49¢, equivalent to backing No at 51¢.
- The market has moved 35 points this week, so this trade goes against recent Yes momentum.
$1,485 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
80% winner buying Yes
Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor is 8/10 resolved with positive P&L and bought Yes despite a modest pullback from entry.
- This bettor has won 80% of resolved bets and is up $3.4K lifetime.
- Their wins came at 57¢ average odds, suggesting they have beaten market prices meaningfully.
- The market has strong momentum, with Yes up 15 points today and 48 points this week.
$1,953 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $232,151
- 0xa576...8678 — Yes, $30,700
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $30,000
- 0xe5bd...339a — Yes, $10,509
- 0xd713...af79 — Yes, $10,000
- 0xb796...58a8 — Yes, $10,000
- 0x8eab...a56d — Yes, $8,112 (23% win rate)
- 0x93fd...7e2f — Yes, $5,750
- 0x5758...e2d8 — Yes, $5,235 (54% win rate)
- 0x6f44...ecfc — Yes, $4,505
