Part of: Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,816.
Categories: Finance, Privates, llm, Dario Amodei, Claude, AI, Big Tech, Tech, anthropic, Anthropic IPO
Notable Trades
13-wallet funded cluster
High-severity 13-wallet funded cluster plus a profitable, experienced wallet buying Yes in a thin market makes this worth surfacing despite modest size.
- This wallet is profitable over a large sample, up about $39.7K across 222 resolved bets.
- Thirteen wallets share the same funder, suggesting this may be part of a coordinated thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- The buy was large for this quiet market, roughly half of recent daily volume and a big chunk of available liquidity.
$1,283 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%
83% winner buying upside
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 83% resolved win rate and $138.7k profit is effectively buying Yes on a thin Anthropic valuation market.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $138.7k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 30 events with the same 83% win rate.
- The trade effectively buys Yes at 32¢ in a thin market, over 200% of recent 24h volume.
$1,365 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
5-wallet cluster buys NO
A 5-wallet funded cluster is taking the No side in a very quiet market, with this wallet flipping from a prior Yes position into No.
- Five wallets tied to the same funder have been active here, suggesting one coordinated view.
- This trade is larger than the market’s recent daily volume, adding weight in a quiet order book.
- The wallet previously held Yes but has now flipped to No, signaling a changed view.
$1,169 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x2f63...f247 — Outcome 77607997, $10,169 (86% win rate)
- 0xb3d7...7504 — Outcome 77607997, $1,203
- 0xac4f...f7e8 — Outcome 94835452, $1,000 (64% win rate)
- 0xbfcc...12a6 — Outcome 77607997, $438
- 0x5b75...433b — Outcome 77607997, $408 (52% win rate)
- 0xc66b...02aa — Outcome 77607997, $389
- 0x3517...fe47 — Outcome 77607997, $308
- 0x3f23...27cb — Outcome 77607997, $300
- 0x3233...f37e — Outcome 77607997, $278
- 0x3da6...9ac4 — Outcome 77607997, $215
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