What is the GRVT FDV above $200M prediction market about?

This market predicts whether GRVT’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation greater than $200 million one day after launch.

How is GRVT’s FDV calculated for this market?

FDV is calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price at the market’s specified resolution time.

When does the GRVT FDV market resolve?

The market resolves based on GRVT’s FDV at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token’s launch. The exchange lists a resolution date of January 1, 2028.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking on this market?

PolySpotter currently shows $1,282 in smart money tracked and 1 smart money signal, including alerts from profitable crypto and event bettors adding Yes exposure.

Part of: GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

This prediction market asks whether GRVT’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $200 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. The market uses total token supply multiplied by token price, and PolySpotter is tracking $1,282 in smart money activity across 1 signal so far. The listed resolution date is January 1, 2028, though the outcome depends on GRVT’s public, transferable token launch timing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GRVT's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,738.

Categories: FDV, Crypto, GRVT, Pre-Market, fdv

Notable Trades

96% winner buying crypto FDV

Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the bettor has a strong 96% resolved win record and is buying a plausible crypto-information market at 65¢.

This bettor has won 24 of 25 resolved trades and is up $12.7K lifetime.
They bought Yes at 65¢ before the market moved to about 70¢.
The market is about GRVT’s launch valuation, where informed crypto positioning is plausible.

$1,282 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% winner buying crypto FDV

Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the bettor has a strong 96% resolved win record and is buying a plausible crypto-information market at 65¢.

This bettor has won 24 of 25 resolved trades and is up $12.7K lifetime.
They bought Yes at 65¢ before the market moved to about 70¢.
The market is about GRVT’s launch valuation, where informed crypto positioning is plausible.

$3,865 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% winner buying crypto FDV

Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the bettor has a strong 96% resolved win record and is buying a plausible crypto-information market at 65¢.

This bettor has won 24 of 25 resolved trades and is up $12.7K lifetime.
They bought Yes at 65¢ before the market moved to about 70¢.
The market is about GRVT’s launch valuation, where informed crypto positioning is plausible.

$1,218 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

Profitable cross-market crypto bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet is backing Yes via a No sell while also positioning across three related GRVT markets in a quiet market.

This bettor has won 74% of 706 resolved trades and is up $61K lifetime.
They are positioning across 3 related GRVT markets, suggesting a broader launch-valuation thesis.
This $1.5K trade was larger than the market’s entire 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.

$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable bettor on thin market

Profitable 75% win-rate wallet is buying Yes in a thin crypto FDV market, with the trade far exceeding recent volume and matching a cross-market thesis.

This bettor has won 75% of resolved trades and is up $4,475 lifetime.
The $1.4K Yes buy was over 3x recent 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
They are also positioned across another related GRVT market, suggesting a broader launch-FDV thesis.

$1,442 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

Profitable crypto bettor adding Yes

A profitable 75% win-rate wallet made a $3.2k Yes bet across a very quiet GRVT market, including a large add after the price moved sharply upward.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $4.5k lifetime.
They put $3.2k into a market with only $472 of 24h volume, a large conviction bet for this order book.
The Yes price is up 14 points this week, and this wallet added again near 71¢ after buying earlier at 47¢.

$3,241 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

Profitable event trader

A historically profitable wallet with 601 resolved bets is buying No at 70¢ across related GRVT markets, suggesting a repeat bettor taking a directional view rather than random flow.

This bettor has won 73% of 601 resolved trades and is up $55k lifetime
They are betting across 2 related GRVT markets, pointing to a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade
Bought No at 70¢ in a market with under $10k 24h volume, a meaningful size for this book

$1,190 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%