Part of: When will GPT-5.6 be released?

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

This prediction market tracks whether OpenAI will make GPT-5.6, or a direct successor to GPT-5.5 such as GPT-5.7 or GPT-5.8, available to the general public between June 22 and June 28, 2026, based on the calendar date in Eastern Time. PolySpotter is tracking $2,000 in smart money and 1 smart money signal, including a recent alert showing a wallet scaling into YES. The market resolves after the specified release window, with the listed resolution date of June 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public. GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,000.

Categories: AI, Tech, OpenAI, gpt, rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec

Notable Trades

New wallet scaling into YES

A very new wallet has repeatedly made large flagged bets and just put $2,000 on Yes in a quiet AI release-date market, representing a high-conviction position despite limited track record.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has now made 8 large flagged bets totaling $16,000.
  • The $2,000 buy was about 84% of the market’s recent daily volume, suggesting strong conviction in a quiet market.
  • Current odds near 65¢ are below this bettor’s 69¢ entry.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $9,833
  2. 0x190e...b11a Yes, $7,962 (56% win rate)
  3. 0x76aa...c4f4 Yes, $2,887 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xc7d0...1f8a No, $1,656
  5. 0x5a21...9318 Yes, $711 (46% win rate)
  6. 0x39aa...583c Yes, $620 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x3183...c5eb No, $504
  8. 0x0380...073d Yes, $313 (56% win rate)
  9. 0x6f67...102c No, $303
  10. 0x5b75...433b No, $300 (49% win rate)

Related Theses

AI giants IPO before 2027

Covers 2 related markets

OpenAI IPO by September 2026

Covers 2 related markets

Gold stays rangebound in June

Covers 3 related markets

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

12dWhen will GPT-5.6 be released?$2,000 tracked1 signalAITechOpenAIgptrewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec
Yes
74¢
No
26¢

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public. GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “Yes
76¢
40¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

2h ago

$2,000 on Yes at 69¢

69¢74¢5¢

Related Theses