Part of: Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jong
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jong
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,678.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
94% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate bought Rafael Jodar despite a sharp price drop, making this a strong follow candidate based on proven edge rather than raw whale size.
- This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up about $403k on $1.22M invested
- They have repeated this pattern across 40 different events, which points to a real edge rather than a one-off hit
- They bought Rafael Jodar at 57¢ even after heavy market activity, suggesting they saw value before the price fell to 50¢
$7,661 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 94%
3-wallet de Jong cluster
Coordinated buying on Jesper de Jong is notable because 3 wallets aligned on the same side during a 37x volume spike, and two Rafael Jodar sells convert into the same Jesper de Jong thesis at roughly 46-47¢.
- Three wallets lined up on Jesper de Jong at about 46-47¢ for nearly $4.9k total.
- The market saw a 37x volume spike and a 27-point one-day move, so this cluster hit during a major repricing.
- One bettor has a 66% win rate across 459 resolved markets, adding some evidence this was more than random flow.
$4,896 on Jesper de Jong
Pro bettor before price jump
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a solid 386-bet history bought Jesper de Jong before a sharp 10-point move in a liquid match market.
- This bettor has 386 resolved bets, wins 61% of the time, and is up about $76k lifetime.
- They bought Jesper de Jong at 54¢ and the market is now 64¢, showing immediate price follow-through.
- This wallet has traded across 414 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process rather than a one-off punt.
$8,875 on Jesper de Jong | Wallet win rate: 61%
Sharp 3-wallet tennis cluster
Three wallets piled into Rafael Jodar for $17.4k during a sharp volume spike, led by one bettor with a 94% win rate and $402k profit, making this coordinated sports flow worth following.
- A bettor who wins 94% of their trades and is up $402k led this buying at 57¢.
- 3 wallets bought the same side for $17.4k as market volume ran 36.6x above normal.
- The market had just swung hard, with the other side dropping 22.5 points in 5 minutes before these buys.
$17,406 on Rafael Jodar
Profitable serial sports bettor
Surface this because a proven high-volume sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $380k profit made a $2.8k buy that accounted for over half of this market’s daily volume.
- This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up $380k across 782 resolved bets.
- The $2.8k buy made up 52% of this market’s 24-hour volume, showing real conviction despite a quiet market.
- This wallet has traded 46 related events for $109k total, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt.
$2,840 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 73479864, $39,899 (73% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 73479864, $17,414 (53% win rate)
- 0x336b...1233 — Outcome 73479864, $16,424 (47% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 73479864, $12,844 (80% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 73479864, $6,788 (74% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 73479864, $5,562 (64% win rate)
- 0x9019...64c3 — Outcome 73479864, $3,818
- 0xe5b3...49f8 — Outcome 73479864, $3,003 (69% win rate)
- 0xbd2d...0344 — Outcome 73479864, $2,124 (82% win rate)
- 0x9d94...017d — Outcome 73479864, $2,000
