Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jong
6 signals across 2 markets · $43,532 tracked · resolves Apr 29, 2026
This Madrid Open event tracks prediction-market odds for Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jong, including both the match winner and Set 1 winner markets. PolySpotter has tracked $43,532 in smart-money activity across 6 signals, including sharp tennis clusters, a de Jong wallet cluster, and profitable sports bettors entering before price movement.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp 3-wallet tennis cluster
Three wallets piled into Rafael Jodar for $17.4k during a sharp volume spike, led by one bettor with a 94% win rate and $402k profit, making this coordinated sports flow worth following.
$17,406Score: 15.9 - 3-wallet de Jong cluster
Coordinated buying on Jesper de Jong is notable because 3 wallets aligned on the same side during a 37x volume spike, and two Rafael Jodar sells convert into the same Jesper de Jong thesis at roughly 46-47¢.
$4,896Score: 13.2 - Pro bettor before price jump
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a solid 386-bet history bought Jesper de Jong before a sharp 10-point move in a liquid match market.
$8,875Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 9.9 - 94% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate bought Rafael Jodar despite a sharp price drop, making this a strong follow candidate based on proven edge rather than raw whale size.
$7,661Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 9.5 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Surface this because a proven high-volume sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $380k profit made a $2.8k buy that accounted for over half of this market’s daily volume.
$2,840Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 6.0 - Thin-market sharp follow
A very active cross-market bettor with 1,227 resolved trades bought Jong aggressively in a thin set-winner market, and the price has since moved from 72% to 100%.
$1,853Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 5.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x6aee3f…fad4$8,875 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
- 0xba8179…dc35$7,661 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x33c96d…6f9a$2,840 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0x86c878…c867$1,853 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
FAQs
What markets are included for Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jong?
This event hub covers the main Madrid Open match winner market for Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jong, plus a separate Set 1 Winner market for Jodar vs de Jong.
What is the smart money doing on Jodar vs de Jong?
PolySpotter has tracked 6 smart-money signals totaling $43,532 across the event. Recent alerts include a sharp 3-wallet tennis cluster, a 3-wallet de Jong cluster, a pro bettor entering before a price jump, and profitable sports bettors with strong track records.
How do Polymarket odds work for this match?
Polymarket prices reflect the market-implied probability of each outcome. For this event, traders are pricing who advances in the match and who wins the first set.
When does the Jodar vs de Jong market resolve?
The market is scheduled around the Madrid Open match originally set for April 22, 2026, and resolves based on which player advances. If the match is canceled or delayed beyond the market rules, resolution follows Polymarket’s stated settlement terms.