Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
This Polymarket asks whether Elon Musk will make between 40 and 64 qualifying X posts from April 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET through April 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count toward the total, while most replies do not. The market resolves on April 25, 2026 based on the final tracked post count during that window.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,031.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
96% win-rate serial bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a 96% win rate bought No and the market moved sharply in their favor, making this a notable track-record-driven signal despite the small size.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 489 bets and has traded over $4.1M across 149 events.
- Their buy pushed or caught a 39-point move toward No, and the price is now 92¢ versus their 87¢ entry.
- This is a fresh, directional bet from a proven cross-market trader, not routine profit-taking.
$1,038 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%
78% win-rate bettor
A high-volume, historically profitable bettor with a 78% win rate bought No at 48¢ as this Elon tweet-count market was breaking out, making it a modest but followable signal despite the small size.
- This bettor wins 78% of their trades across 718 resolved markets and is up $120k lifetime
- They bought No at 48¢ while the market was making a sharp 38-point move beyond its prior range
- The trade is small at about $993, but it came from a wallet with a repeat cross-market pattern in the same event
$993 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 38121274, $66,973
- 0x77c8...bc8c — Outcome 80650081, $11,654 (29% win rate)
- 0x3f0c...3fd7 — Outcome 80650081, $10,000 (47% win rate)
- 0x2924...dcde — Outcome 80650081, $5,801
- 0x0170...a17c — Outcome 38121274, $5,798 (88% win rate)
- 0xd8c4...848d — Outcome 38121274, $5,283
- 0xdf0a...08e8 — Outcome 80650081, $5,000
- 0x8288...5519 — Outcome 80650081, $4,197
- 0xacbc...7cc3 — Outcome 38121274, $3,329 (16% win rate)
- 0x35f3...cfd0 — Outcome 80650081, $3,153
