Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $52,388.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume serial sports trader bought No on the draw market ahead of a major move from 80¢ to 94¢, with broader cross-market positioning on the same event.

This bettor has 854 resolved trades, wins 64%, and is up about $340k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.1M tracked across 348 events.
They bought No at 80¢ before the market moved sharply to 94¢.

$1,134 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%

Serial sports bettor caught move

Serial cross-market bettor with positive lifetime P&L bought No before a sharp move from 81¢ to 94¢ amid a 28.7x volume spike.

This bettor has traded 43 events and is up $68K lifetime across 773 resolved bets.
They bought $6.5K of No at 81¢ before the market moved to 94¢.
Volume spiked 28.7x versus normal, supporting the same direction as the trade.

$6,541 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable bettors buying draw

Three profitable sports-heavy wallets moved together into Yes around 18–19¢ amid a 23.7x volume spike, though one leg is partly a No profit-take.

Three wallets with strong lifetime profits are all taking the draw side at 18–19¢.
The largest bettor is up $15.7M lifetime, and another is up $68K with a 69% win rate.
Market volume spiked 23.7x, suggesting fresh attention despite Yes falling 9 points in the past day.

$7,438 on Yes

99% win-rate sports sharp

Elite 99% win-rate wallet with strong lifetime profit bought $10.5k of No on a soccer draw market amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 83 of 84 resolved positions and is up $164.7k lifetime.
They put $10.5k on No at 73¢, adding a high-conviction bet on a liquid soccer market.
Market activity spiked 65x above its historical average, suggesting broader sharp attention.

$10,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

76% winner buying draw

Surfaced because a proven profitable wallet with a 76% record and strong edge bought Yes on the draw at 29¢.

This bettor has won 76% of resolved trades and is up $11,068 lifetime.
Their wins came at average odds near 49%, suggesting real edge rather than just backing heavy favorites.
They bought Yes at 29¢, implying the draw is mispriced versus their track record.

$1,424 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

87% sports sharp

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 87% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought the draw at 29¢.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $116.8K lifetime.
They have traded across 103 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
Entry at 29¢ implies they see meaningful value on the draw.

$1,597 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

New sports whale 2-0

A 5-day-old wallet is making another large sports bet after starting 2-0 with $3k profit, suggesting early sharp conviction despite a limited track record.

This 5-day-old bettor is already 2-for-2 and up $3,003 on resolved bets.
This is their third flagged large bet, with $14,583 total recently deployed.
They put $8,694 on the match not ending in a draw at 72¢.

$3,182 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

New profitable sports whale

A 5-day-old wallet with early profits is making its fourth flagged large bet, putting $11.9k on No in a Sweden-Tunisia draw market.

This 5-day-old bettor is already up $3,003 on $16,068 invested.
They have now been flagged 4 times for large bets, totaling $17,765 in recent action.
The wallet put $11.9k on No at 72¢, showing concentrated conviction against a draw.

$11,876 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

New sports whale 2-0

A 5-day-old wallet is making another large sports bet after starting 2-0 with $3k profit, suggesting early sharp conviction despite a limited track record.

This 5-day-old bettor is already 2-for-2 and up $3,003 on resolved bets.
This is their third flagged large bet, with $14,583 total recently deployed.
They put $8,694 on the match not ending in a draw at 72¢.

$8,694 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10116962, $103,668
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 59191041, $31,235 (63% win rate)
0xbe7e...6d00 — Outcome 59191041, $18,402 (68% win rate)
0x9896...a925 — Outcome 59191041, $15,916 (72% win rate)
0xf031...c80c — Outcome 59191041, $10,529 (93% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 59191041, $8,665
0xb334...1ae1 — Outcome 59191041, $7,500 (50% win rate)
0x1d16...212e — Outcome 59191041, $5,508 (87% win rate)
0xca5a...7e43 — Outcome 59191041, $5,132
0x8be4...b795 — Outcome 59191041, $5,075 (91% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?

ResolvedSweden vs. Tunisia$52,388 tracked9 signalsSportsSoccerFIFA World CupGames

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 14, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.