Part of: Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
17 smart money signals detected, totaling $466,639.
Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball
Notable Trades
Elite sports sharp
Surfacing because a highly profitable sports bettor with an 85% win rate and $780k lifetime profit bought Pistons spread at 51¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $780k lifetime.
- They have traded 216 events and $2.6M across markets with the same 85% hit rate.
- Buying Pistons at 51¢ suggests they see value despite a very liquid market.
$3,354 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp bettor backing Pistons
Surface because one wallet in the Pistons-buying cluster has an exceptional 85% win rate and +$780k P&L across 149 resolved positions, making the trade copy-worthy despite a liquid market.
- A proven bettor in this cluster wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $780k lifetime.
- That same wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 215 events with an 85% hit rate.
- Three wallets bought Pistons +3.5 at 51¢, totaling $6.8k on the same side.
$6,771 on Pistons
Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution sports bettor with massive lifetime profit bought Cavaliers -3.5 at 50¢ just 1.2 minutes before market resolution.
- This bettor is up $1.6M lifetime across more than 5,000 resolved bets.
- They placed this bet just 1.2 minutes before resolution, matching a pattern of 84 late bets across 57 markets.
- They also have $14.8K positioned across 4 markets in this same game, suggesting a broader thesis.
$1,638 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 53%
New repeat bettor backing Pistons
A 2-day-old wallet with repeated large-bet flags and early profit is backing Pistons against the spread, though the market itself is very liquid.
- This wallet is only 2 days old but has already triggered 6 large-bet flags totaling about $34k.
- It is already up $9.2k on one resolved position, an early sign of possible edge.
- Entry at 51¢ implies they see Pistons covering as slightly better than a coin flip.
$1,250 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 100%
New profitable NBA whale
A 2-day-old wallet with repeat large-bet alerts and early profit is putting $7.5k on Pistons +3.5 in a highly liquid NBA spread market.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already made $9.2k on one resolved bet.
- It has triggered six large-bet alerts, totaling about $34k in flagged action.
- The bettor bought $7.5k of Pistons at 51¢, implying a near-even but confident position.
$7,500 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 100%
New profitable sports whale
A 2-day-old wallet with repeat large flagged bets and early profit bought $6.25k of Pistons against a highly liquid NBA spread.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already made five large flagged bets totaling $32.7k.
- The bettor is up $9.2k on $20k invested from their first resolved position.
- They bought $6.25k of Pistons at 51¢ in a tight, liquid NBA spread market.
$6,250 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 100%
New repeat NBA whale
Very new wallet is repeatedly placing sizable NBA spread bets while a huge pre-event volume spike hits the market, though track record is still limited.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already made about $6K in flagged bets and is up $2.1K on early resolved trades.
- A 640x pre-game volume spike suggests unusual attention on this spread before tipoff.
- Entry at 50¢ is near even money, so the bettor is taking a clean directional stand on Cavaliers -3.5.
$1,945 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 50%
87% winning sports sharp
Sharp NBA bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Cavaliers -3.5 at an even-money entry.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $268,669 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 163 events with $1.63M in tracked volume.
- Entry at 50¢ gives a clean even-money copy point on Cavaliers -3.5.
$1,000 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable sports whale
Despite only a weak cross-market signal, this is a proven high-volume profitable sports wallet taking a fresh Cavaliers spread position.
- This bettor is up $1.6M lifetime across more than 5,000 resolved trades.
- They have put $5.1K across 3 markets in the same game, suggesting a broader Cavaliers-side thesis.
- Entry at 50¢ gives an even-money price on Cavaliers covering -3.5.
$2,238 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 53%
88% winner on Cavs spread
Sharp sports bettor with an 88% win rate and strong positive P&L is buying Cavaliers -3.5 at an even-money entry.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $84.5K lifetime.
- Their past wins came at average 53¢ odds, so buying Cavaliers at 50¢ fits their proven edge profile.
- The $6.1K bet is meaningful, though the market is very liquid with nearly $591K traded in 24 hours.
$6,086 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xc807...c12b — Outcome 50733897, $476,893 (55% win rate)
- 0xbddf...c684 — Outcome 50733897, $53,930 (95% win rate)
- 0x1bc0...4429 — Outcome 50733897, $20,000 (84% win rate)
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 50733897, $19,100 (58% win rate)
- 0xdfa6...6c6c — Outcome 50733897, $15,706 (100% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 50733897, $14,935 (67% win rate)
- 0xa1e2...8a9b — Outcome 50733897, $7,072 (53% win rate)
- 0x04e6...3914 — Outcome 50733897, $7,000
- 0x3b5a...bb9b — Outcome 50733897, $6,658 (85% win rate)
- 0xe0db...f44e — Outcome 50733897, $6,000 (48% win rate)
Related Theses
Pistons cover high-scoring matchup
Covers 3 related markets
