This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $780k lifetime. They have traded 216 events and $2.6M across markets with the same 85% hit rate. Buying Pistons at 51¢ suggests they see value despite a very liquid market.

Part of: Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

17 smart money signals detected, totaling $466,639.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Elite sports sharp

Surfacing because a highly profitable sports bettor with an 85% win rate and $780k lifetime profit bought Pistons spread at 51¢.

This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $780k lifetime.
They have traded 216 events and $2.6M across markets with the same 85% hit rate.
Buying Pistons at 51¢ suggests they see value despite a very liquid market.

$3,354 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 86%

Sharp bettor backing Pistons

Surface because one wallet in the Pistons-buying cluster has an exceptional 85% win rate and +$780k P&L across 149 resolved positions, making the trade copy-worthy despite a liquid market.

A proven bettor in this cluster wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $780k lifetime.
That same wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 215 events with an 85% hit rate.
Three wallets bought Pistons +3.5 at 51¢, totaling $6.8k on the same side.

$6,771 on Pistons

Profitable serial timer

Serial near-resolution sports bettor with massive lifetime profit bought Cavaliers -3.5 at 50¢ just 1.2 minutes before market resolution.

This bettor is up $1.6M lifetime across more than 5,000 resolved bets.
They placed this bet just 1.2 minutes before resolution, matching a pattern of 84 late bets across 57 markets.
They also have $14.8K positioned across 4 markets in this same game, suggesting a broader thesis.

$1,638 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 54%

New repeat bettor backing Pistons

A 2-day-old wallet with repeated large-bet flags and early profit is backing Pistons against the spread, though the market itself is very liquid.

This wallet is only 2 days old but has already triggered 6 large-bet flags totaling about $34k.
It is already up $9.2k on one resolved position, an early sign of possible edge.
Entry at 51¢ implies they see Pistons covering as slightly better than a coin flip.

$1,250 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 89%

New profitable NBA whale

A 2-day-old wallet with repeat large-bet alerts and early profit is putting $7.5k on Pistons +3.5 in a highly liquid NBA spread market.

This 2-day-old wallet has already made $9.2k on one resolved bet.
It has triggered six large-bet alerts, totaling about $34k in flagged action.
The bettor bought $7.5k of Pistons at 51¢, implying a near-even but confident position.

$7,500 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 89%

New profitable sports whale

A 2-day-old wallet with repeat large flagged bets and early profit bought $6.25k of Pistons against a highly liquid NBA spread.

This 2-day-old wallet has already made five large flagged bets totaling $32.7k.
The bettor is up $9.2k on $20k invested from their first resolved position.
They bought $6.25k of Pistons at 51¢ in a tight, liquid NBA spread market.

$6,250 on Pistons | Wallet win rate: 89%

New repeat NBA whale

Very new wallet is repeatedly placing sizable NBA spread bets while a huge pre-event volume spike hits the market, though track record is still limited.

This 2-day-old wallet has already made about $6K in flagged bets and is up $2.1K on early resolved trades.
A 640x pre-game volume spike suggests unusual attention on this spread before tipoff.
Entry at 50¢ is near even money, so the bettor is taking a clean directional stand on Cavaliers -3.5.

$1,945 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 79%

87% winning sports sharp

Sharp NBA bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought Cavaliers -3.5 at an even-money entry.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $268,669 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 163 events with $1.63M in tracked volume.
Entry at 50¢ gives a clean even-money copy point on Cavaliers -3.5.

$1,000 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable sports whale

Despite only a weak cross-market signal, this is a proven high-volume profitable sports wallet taking a fresh Cavaliers spread position.

This bettor is up $1.6M lifetime across more than 5,000 resolved trades.
They have put $5.1K across 3 markets in the same game, suggesting a broader Cavaliers-side thesis.
Entry at 50¢ gives an even-money price on Cavaliers covering -3.5.

$2,238 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 54%

88% winner on Cavs spread

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% win rate and strong positive P&L is buying Cavaliers -3.5 at an even-money entry.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $84.5K lifetime.
Their past wins came at average 53¢ odds, so buying Cavaliers at 50¢ fits their proven edge profile.
The $6.1K bet is meaningful, though the market is very liquid with nearly $591K traded in 24 hours.

$6,086 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

0xc807...c12b — Outcome 50733897, $476,893 (62% win rate)
0xbddf...c684 — Outcome 50733897, $53,930 (89% win rate)
0x1bc0...4429 — Outcome 50733897, $20,000 (85% win rate)
0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 50733897, $19,100 (62% win rate)
0xdfa6...6c6c — Outcome 50733897, $15,706 (89% win rate)
0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 50733897, $14,935 (71% win rate)
0xa1e2...8a9b — Outcome 50733897, $7,072 (53% win rate)
0x04e6...3914 — Outcome 50733897, $7,000 (76% win rate)
0x3b5a...bb9b — Outcome 50733897, $6,658 (86% win rate)
0xf284...b9f9 — Outcome 50733897, $5,000 (89% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Spain, Argentina, Brazil, England or Germany

Covers 7 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

ResolvedPistons vs. Cavaliers$466,639 tracked17 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 11 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pistons". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

DET

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60-22

Rocket Arena

CLE

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52-30

Draft Kings

Spread: CLE -3.5O/U: 213.5ML: +140/-166

Win Prob

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Last Play