Part of: August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,234.
Categories: Science, Weather, Global Temp
Notable Trades
Serial trader adds to No
A serial cross-market trader made a large additional No bet in a thin, wide-spread market, though their historical win rate does not clearly exceed the average odds paid.
- This trader has participated across 35 markets and 29 events, with $114,875 in total activity.
- The $1,234 bet exceeded the market’s 24-hour volume in a thin market with a 14-point bid-ask spread.
- The trader is adding to an existing No position at 74¢, while No currently trades near 79¢.
$1,234 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 22831806, $2,961 (82% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 31519760, $1,548
- 0x34db...1b63 — Outcome 22831806, $526
- 0x7300...e52c — Outcome 22831806, $360
- 0x2141...7fa2 — Outcome 22831806, $200
- 0x6816...8484 — Outcome 22831806, $100
- 0xc518...2594 — Outcome 22831806, $65
- 0x510f...a43c — Outcome 22831806, $30
- 0xa3e2...fdf8 — Outcome 22831806, $27
- 0x43cb...84df — Outcome 22831806, $15
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2026 will be hottest on record
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Global warming misses August 2026 range
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Global temperatures exceed 1.29°C
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June warming hits 1.15-1.19°C
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NYC AQI will stay below 100
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July warming hits 1.20-1.24°C
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July 2026 will be hottest on record
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Fed holds rates steady in July 2026
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May warming hits 1.10-1.14C
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