Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 20?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 20?
This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will close above $86,000 on Binance’s BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 PM ET on May 20, 2026. It resolves “Yes” only if that candle’s final close is higher than $86,000; otherwise it resolves “No.” PolySpotter is tracking $5,000 in smart money activity, including a recent quiet-market NO whale signal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,000.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
Quiet-market NO whale
A modestly profitable 75% wallet put $5k into No on a thin BTC market, exceeding reported 24h volume and fitting a cross-market thesis.
- This bettor has won 75% of 150 resolved trades and is slightly profitable overall.
- The $5k NO position is larger than this market’s reported daily volume, showing conviction in a quiet order book.
- They are also trading across 2 related markets, suggesting a broader BTC price thesis.
$5,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0x4d06...b2ea — No, $3,335 (75% win rate)
- 0x55be...dca3 — Yes, $3,188 (54% win rate)
- 0x7689...8ffe — Yes, $322
- 0x88ca...cc85 — No, $140
- 0x82a5...8f69 — Yes, $95
- 0xf645...84e2 — No, $72
- 0x53e9...d896 — No, $70
- 0xfdf3...2583 — Yes, $68
- 0xe0aa...89ad — No, $54
- 0x2510...008d — Yes, $54
Related Theses
Bitcoin stays below $84K
Covers 2 related markets
