Part of: Elon Musk # tweets July 11 - July 13, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,000.

Categories: Tweet Markets, Culture, Politics

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to a No position after a sharp market move toward No, though the edge is modest because the wallet mostly wins on high-priced favorites.

  • This active bettor is up $21.5K across 399 resolved bets and has traded 50 related events.
  • They are adding to an existing No position at 76¢ as No has surged sharply over the past day.
  • Entry at 76¢ suggests they see the 40-64 tweet range as unlikely.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 35080416, $32,325
  2. 0x2ef2...7f72 Outcome 11181929, $5,000 (45% win rate)
  3. 0x215a...254c Outcome 11181929, $3,545
  4. 0x590e...e43d Outcome 11181929, $3,470
  5. 0xc5f5...e714 Outcome 11181929, $3,012 (45% win rate)
  6. 0x35f3...cfd0 Outcome 11181929, $2,980
  7. 0xff4e...5502 Outcome 11181929, $2,500
  8. 0x1359...0c0d Outcome 11181929, $1,982
  9. 0x732f...201e Outcome 11181929, $1,700
  10. 0x4f7d...b3ff Outcome 11181929, $1,500

Related Theses

Musk tweets outside 180-199 range

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Portugal won't win 2-0

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England scores against Argentina

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South Africa Canada scoreless draw

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Uruguay beats Cabo Verde 2-1

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Panama and Croatia draw 1-1

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England-Ghana not 2-0

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Ecuador Germany stays low scoring

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Tunisia Netherlands corners go over

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Morocco Haiti corner count stays low

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Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets July 11 - July 13, 2026?$2,000 tracked1 signalTweet MarketsCulturePolitics

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 11 12:00 PM ET to July 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

42d ago

$2,000 on No at 76¢

Related Theses