Part of: Elon Musk # tweets July 11 - July 13, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 11 12:00 PM ET to July 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,000.

Categories: Tweet Markets, Culture, Politics

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to a No position after a sharp market move toward No, though the edge is modest because the wallet mostly wins on high-priced favorites.

This active bettor is up $21.5K across 399 resolved bets and has traded 50 related events.
They are adding to an existing No position at 76¢ as No has surged sharply over the past day.
Entry at 76¢ suggests they see the 40-64 tweet range as unlikely.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%