Part of: SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
This prediction market asks whether SpaceX’s market capitalization will be between $2.0 trillion and $2.5 trillion at the close of its first IPO trading day. If SpaceX does not go public by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to “No IPO before 2028.” PolySpotter is tracking $1,487 in smart money activity, including a recent signal from an 83% winner buying NO.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,487.
Categories: Tech, Business, Finance, IPOs, Elon Musk, Big Tech, SpaceX, IPO, Space, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
83% winner buying NO
Sharp profitable wallet with 83% historical win rate is fading the Yes outcome, converting to a BUY No at 56¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $130K lifetime.
- They are taking the opposite side of Yes at 44¢, equivalent to buying No at 56¢.
- The bet is large relative to recent activity, about 75% of the signal’s 24h volume baseline.
$1,487 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $65,530
- 0x4e25...d7a7 — No, $7,757 (65% win rate)
- 0x2add...9b43 — Yes, $7,672 (25% win rate)
- 0xe74d...22fd — Yes, $7,397 (33% win rate)
- 0xb962...33d8 — Yes, $5,771
- 0xf797...0bf2 — Yes, $4,960 (48% win rate)
- 0xf2aa...21fb — Yes, $4,470 (43% win rate)
- 0x5a21...9318 — Yes, $3,752 (60% win rate)
- 0x9dfe...b3dd — Yes, $3,687 (65% win rate)
- 0x3764...c5eb — No, $2,990 (60% win rate)
