Part of: World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,560.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, world cup, FIFA World Cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Team Props, Tournament Futures

Notable Trades

8-wallet football cluster

High-scoring alert driven by an 8-wallet funded cluster and a serial cross-market trader with a long history of event-based positioning, buying Spain Yes at 52¢.

  • An 8-wallet group sharing the same funder is active on this World Cup thesis.
  • This trader has placed $107k across 33 events and has won 61% of 478 resolved bets.
  • They bought Yes at 52¢ as Spain’s odds have climbed 5.5 points over the past week.

$1,560 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5fd8...ce32 Outcome 10093800, $16,452 (89% win rate)
  2. 0xe7bd...ebce Outcome 10093800, $10,790 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x5a21...9318 Outcome 10093800, $5,361 (60% win rate)
  4. 0x232d...da84 Outcome 10093800, $4,825
  5. 0x4c5e...8819 Outcome 10093800, $4,279 (75% win rate)
  6. 0xe8c2...3048 Outcome 10093800, $4,123 (91% win rate)
  7. 0x51fd...4272 Outcome 10093800, $3,056
  8. 0x6db9...4ab5 Outcome 10093800, $2,826 (83% win rate)
  9. 0x9cb6...36d5 Outcome 10093800, $2,400
  10. 0x7200...9299 Outcome 10093800, $2,186 (84% win rate)

Related Theses

Neither Spain nor Argentina wins

Covers 2 related markets

Argentina wins on July 3

Covers 1 related market

Portugal-Croatia tops 1.5 goals

Covers 1 related market

France Spain advance, Argentina falls

Covers 3 related markets

Favorites advance, Morocco falls short

Covers 4 related markets

Egypt Iran stays low scoring

Covers 1 related market

Four goals won’t happen

Covers 2 related markets

No US-Iran talks by July

Covers 2 related markets

England Congo under 1.5 goals

Covers 1 related market

Portugal wins Group K

Covers 1 related market

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals$1,560 tracked1 signalSportsSoccerworld cupFIFA World Cup2026 FIFA World CupTeam PropsTournament Futures

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

35d ago

$1,560 on Yes at 52¢

Related Theses