World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals
29 signals across 10 markets · $94,235 tracked · resolves Jul 13, 2026
This event tracks whether England will reach the semifinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with traders buying and selling the “Yes” and “No” outcomes on Polymarket. PolySpotter has identified $5,421 in smart money activity, including a recent signal from a perfect-record sharp bettor.
Markets (10)
- Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?6 signals · $22,647 tracked
- Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?4 signals · $19,464 tracked
- Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?7 signals · $13,656 tracked
- Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $9,517 tracked
- Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2 signals · $8,376 tracked
- Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $5,421 tracked
- Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3 signals · $5,307 tracked
- Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2 signals · $5,236 tracked
- Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?2 signals · $3,050 tracked
- Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1 signal · $1,560 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 8-wallet football cluster
High-scoring alert driven by an 8-wallet funded cluster and a serial cross-market trader with a long history of event-based positioning, buying Spain Yes at 52¢.
$1,560Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 12.0 - 90% winner fading longshot
Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor is 9-1 on resolved bets with positive lifetime P&L and is buying Colombia No.
$9,607Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 8.1 - Sharp bettor fading Morocco surge
Sharp wallet with a 91% resolved-bet record is taking the No side after Morocco semifinal odds jumped sharply.
$1,505Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.0 - Sharp bettor fading Morocco surge
Sharp wallet with a 91% resolved-bet record is taking the No side after Morocco semifinal odds jumped sharply.
$1,545Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.0 - 90% winner fading longshot
Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor is 9-1 on resolved bets with positive lifetime P&L and is buying Colombia No.
$3,611Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.0 - New repeat bettor with early wins
A 3-day-old wallet with repeat flagged bets and early profitability is buying Argentina Yes at 39¢, though the track record is still small.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 5.5 - 87% winner fading Brazil
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and nearly $489k profit is buying Brazil No in a thin World Cup futures market.
$2,229Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.0 - Perfect-record sharp bettor
A highly profitable bettor with a perfect 50-for-50 resolved record bought $5.4k of No on England reaching the semifinals, far larger than recent market activity.
$5,421Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.0 - 87% winner fading Brazil
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and nearly $489k profit is buying Brazil No in a thin World Cup futures market.
$1,900Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 4.0 - 87% winner fading Brazil
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and nearly $489k profit is buying Brazil No in a thin World Cup futures market.
$1,178Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x03431e…f2dc$25,697 · 2 markets · 8 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x986878…64b0$10,222 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 90% wins
- 0xfffadf…864b$9,517 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x18b84c…c368$9,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0xe0a912…1652$8,376 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 90% wins
- 0xb10bf1…0b04$5,805 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
- 0xe8c20f…3048$5,421 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0x7f9e2d…3a0e$5,307 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 91% wins
- 0x231ac7…a82f$3,978 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xbfd21d…1b21$3,134 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 83% wins
FAQs
What are the odds England reaches the 2026 World Cup semifinals?
The live Polymarket price reflects the market-implied odds that England reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinals. PolySpotter tracks this pricing alongside smart money activity so you can see how informed traders are positioning.
What is the smart money doing on England to reach the semifinals?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,421 in smart money across this event, including a recent alert tied to a perfect-record sharp bettor. That activity can help highlight when experienced traders are taking a view on England’s chances.
How does this Polymarket event resolve?
The market resolves “Yes” if England reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinals. It resolves “No” if England is eliminated before then, or under the listed cancellation/postponement conditions.
When will the England World Cup semifinals market resolve?
This event is scheduled to resolve by July 13, 2026, after the relevant 2026 World Cup semifinal status is known.