Part of: UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Max Holloway and Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,668.

Categories: Sports, Games, UFC, UFC 329

Notable Trades

Late Under cluster hit

Three wallets bought Under around 45–48¢ shortly before it moved to 100¢, backed by a 33.7x volume spike and one-sided flow, though wallet track records are mixed.

Three wallets all backed Under around 45–48¢ before it moved to 100¢.
Volume spiked 33.7x above normal with all detected flow pointing the same way.
One wallet is a high-volume cross-market bettor with 68% wins across 667 resolved markets.

$4,859 on Under

91% winner adding Over

Proven profitable sports bettor with a 91% record is adding to an existing Over position at 55¢.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $62.8K lifetime.
They are adding to an existing Over position, now with about $10.9K invested at a 55¢ average.
Entry at 55¢ suggests they see value despite the market already moving up 7.5% this week.

$3,850 on Over | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial fight bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 74% resolved win rate is adding to an Under position at 48¢ despite the market leaning Over.

This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up about $114K lifetime.
They have traded across 34 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market betting process.
They are adding to an existing Under position at 48¢, increasing conviction on the fight ending before 2.5 rounds.

$1,200 on Under | Wallet win rate: 75%

88% winner buying Under

Surfacing because a highly proven profitable bettor with a massive sample and strong cross-market history is buying Under at 48¢ near fight day.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.5M lifetime.
They have traded across 1,148 events with an 88% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Buying Under at 48¢ goes against the recent Over price move, implying a contrarian read on the fight.

$6,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%

88% winner buying Under

Surfacing because a highly proven profitable bettor with a massive sample and strong cross-market history is buying Under at 48¢ near fight day.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.5M lifetime.
They have traded across 1,148 events with an 88% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Buying Under at 48¢ goes against the recent Over price move, implying a contrarian read on the fight.

$1,098 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%

89% winner buys Under

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with an 89% long-run win rate bought Under at near-even odds on a UFC rounds market.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $2.95M lifetime.
They have traded across 844 events with the same 89% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Buying Under at 51¢ means they are taking a near-even line despite a strong long-term record.

$2,661 on Under | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable sports regular sizing up

A high-volume, mildly profitable sports bettor put $5k on Over in a very quiet UFC rounds market, making the trade more notable than a simple size alert.

This bettor has a large track record: 665 resolved bets, 68% wins, and about $43k profit.
The $5k Over bet is more than 5x this market’s 24-hour volume, showing real conviction in a quiet market.
They paid 53¢ while the market is now around 49¢, so the same side may be available cheaper than their entry.

$5,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 68%