Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,521.

Categories: Politics, lawsuit, Wall Street Journal, Trump, Courts

Notable Trades

11-wallet sharp cluster

An 11-wallet linked cluster is backing No, and this specific wallet has an unusually high 87% hit rate across 428 resolved bets, making the coordinated flow worth watching despite the modest size.

11 linked wallets funded by the same source have been active together, and this wallet is backing No here.
This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades across 428 bets, which makes their positioning more worth tracking than a random whale trade.
They bought No at 76¢ in a market that's drifted down 12 points over the past week, reinforcing the bearish view on a Trump re-filing.

$1,482 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Sharp cluster buys No

A highly active linked-wallet cluster includes an 87% hit-rate bettor making a $6k No buy that consumed 71% of daily volume in a thin, fast-falling market.

This bettor wins 87% of their trades across 428 resolved markets, showing a strong history of being right.
Nine linked wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than a one-off bet.
The $6.0k buy was 71% of the market's 24-hour volume, and they bought No before odds moved from 75¢ to 68¢.

$6,039 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

0xa676...1c22 — Outcome 61791594, $2,000 (44% win rate)
0x28ab...2048 — Outcome 61791594, $400
0x923c...fa1d — Outcome 61791594, $346
0x743e...f405 — Outcome 61791594, $166
0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 61791594, $134
0x05c8...a2f8 — Outcome 61791594, $100
0x2c3b...3ad8 — Outcome 81512904, $99
0x3d6b...670c — Outcome 61791594, $65
0x510f...a43c — Outcome 61791594, $60
0x6e4c...5c55 — Outcome 61791594, $45

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?

ResolvedTrump re-sues WSJ by...?$7,521 tracked2 signalsPoliticslawsuitWall Street JournalTrumpCourts

"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Donald Trump initiates or refiles a lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal by April 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. Both novel lawsuits and amended complaints against the Wall Street Journal will qualify, including amended complaints that assert new or revised allegations. Appeals, motions for reconsideration, or other actions that do not assert new or amended claims will not count. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades