Part of: Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?

Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Houthi military forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. "Enter" means that the Houthi military forces, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Saudi Arabia, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of Houthi entry will not qualify without actual entry being established. The entrance of Houthi emissaries for the purpose of negotiating an agreement or other diplomatic or commercial endeavors will not alone qualify. In the event of genuine ambiguity, this market may remain open for three days after the specified date. If Houthi entry into Saudi Arabia is not established by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,353.

Categories: Iran, Yemen, Military, Geopolitics, Middle East, Saudi Arabia, yemeni houthis

Notable Trades

New whale re-entering Yes

A brand-new wallet made a large concentrated Yes bet in a thin geopolitical market, but its lack of track record and subsequent price decline make this a speculative signal.

  • A wallet less than an hour old committed $4,353 to Yes across two trades, representing roughly 60% of recent market volume.
  • The bet was made in a thin market with only about $263 liquidity and a very wide spread, suggesting unusually strong conviction or significant execution risk.
  • The position entered at 59¢ while the market is now around 42¢, and the wallet has no resolved betting history to validate its edge.

$4,353 on Yes

Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?

Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?$4,353 tracked1 signalIranYemenMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastSaudi Arabiayemeni houthis
Yes
3¢
No
97¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Houthi military forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. "Enter" means that the Houthi military forces, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Saudi Arabia, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of Houthi entry will not qualify without actual entry being established. The entrance of Houthi emissaries for the purpose of negotiating an agreement or other diplomatic or commercial endeavors will not alone qualify. In the event of genuine ambiguity, this market may remain open for three days after the specified date. If Houthi entry into Saudi Arabia is not established by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “No”
101¢
98¢
94¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?

2026-09-12 13:56 UTC

$4,353 on Yes at 59¢

59¢→3¢↓56¢