Part of: How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,420.

Categories: Polymarket, Tech, Culture, Prediction Markets, Business, Kaito

Notable Trades

Profitable thin-market No buyer

Experienced profitable wallet made an outsized No buy in a very thin market, with the trade equal to nearly 7x the market’s 24h volume.

  • This wallet is up $52k across 1,078 resolved bets, though its win rate is moderate at 65%.
  • The $1.4k No buy was nearly 7x the market’s entire 24h volume, signaling conviction in a quiet market.
  • The bettor appears to have flipped from a small closed Yes position into a larger No stance.

$1,420 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc8e8...d739 — Outcome 40324266, $1,246 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x55ec...8c7d — Outcome 40324266, $1,000 (34% win rate)
  3. 0xa927...4847 — Outcome 40324266, $732
  4. 0xc66b...02aa — Outcome 40324266, $570
  5. 0x81c0...3fa5 — Outcome 40324266, $499
  6. 0x5768...08fd — Outcome 40324266, $300
  7. 0x9988...c67a — Outcome 40324266, $220
  8. 0x30ad...5d5f — Outcome 40324266, $173
  9. 0x066f...2e56 — Outcome 40324266, $119
  10. 0xfea4...f07b — Outcome 40324266, $117

Related Theses

Russia won’t capture either city

Covers 2 related markets

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?

ResolvedHow high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?$1,420 tracked1 signalPolymarketTechCulturePrediction MarketsBusinessKaito

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Polymarket has at least the specified daily mindshare, as shown on the Kaito Information Markets Arena page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets) at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only finalized daily results from the Polymarket mindshare percentage shown on the Kaito Info Markets page at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets, specifically the daily values for Polymarket under 'Historical Data', will be used to resolve this market. Values will be considered final once the value for the subsequent day has been released. The resolution source for this market is the Kaito Info Markets page found at https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the Kaito Info Markets page comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on the latest available data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Kaito Info Markets page (https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/infomarkets), which reports the platform’s mindshare as a percentage to two decimal places (e.g., 66.56%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Notable Trades

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?

39d ago

$1,420 on No at 79¢

Related Theses

Russia won’t capture either city
Wallet_0xe0f1e trades 2 related markets
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by…Will Russia enter Druzkhivka b…