Part of: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jakub Mensik

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Jakub Mensik in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Jakub Mensik. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Francisco Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $268,872.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Seven-wallet cluster with a proven sharp

Seven wallets put $61,129 behind Cerundolo amid a 170x volume spike, including a bettor with a 96% win rate and strong odds-adjusted results.

Seven wallets bought Cerundolo for a combined $61,129, with trading volume surging to 170 times its historical average.
A bettor in the cluster has won 77 of 80 resolved positions and shown a substantial edge over the odds paid.
Cerundolo is available around 43¢, below the cluster’s reported buy prices.

$71,753 on Francisco Cerundolo

New whale adding to Mensik

A newly created wallet added $86K to a $160K existing Mensik position amid an exceptional volume spike, though it has no resolved track record and the price moved against its entry.

This wallet added another $86K to an existing $160K Mensik position, showing substantial conviction.
The market saw a 131.8× volume spike, but the wallet has no resolved betting history and Mensik’s price moved down after its 55¢ entry.

$86,473 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 55%

Three-wallet Mensik buying cluster

Three wallets bought Mensik for $91,071 amid a 115.6x volume spike, including a wallet with a strong 1,068-bet track record.

Three wallets bought Mensik for a combined $91,071, with one wallet adding to an existing $160,000 position.
One participating bettor has an 85% win rate across 1,068 resolved bets and is up $372,534.
Trading volume was 115.6 times its historical average as the bettors entered around 55¢.

$91,071 on Jakub Mensik

Profitable serial bettor adding to Mensik

A profitable high-volume cross-market bettor added to an existing Mensik position amid a 24.9x volume spike, though their historical win rate is only modestly above average winning odds.

This bettor has won 84% of 94 resolved bets and is up $23,555 overall.
The market saw a 24.9x volume spike, and this trader added $3,810 to an existing Mensik position.
They bought Mensik at 83¢ while the current odds are around 82¢.

$3,810 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable serial trader adds to Mensik

A profitable high-volume trader added to Mensik as the market rose sharply, though their long-run record does not establish a strong edge.

This trader is up $76,872 across 3,740 resolved bets and added another $1,446 to Mensik.
Mensik’s price jumped 14 percentage points in about four minutes as the trader added to an existing position.

$1,727 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable serial trader adds to Mensik

A profitable high-volume trader added to Mensik as the market rose sharply, though their long-run record does not establish a strong edge.

This trader is up $76,872 across 3,740 resolved bets and added another $1,446 to Mensik.
Mensik’s price jumped 14 percentage points in about four minutes as the trader added to an existing position.

$1,446 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 61%

Proven 88% winner adding to Cerundolo

A highly profitable bettor with an 88% record across 116 resolved positions is adding to an existing Cerundolo position.

This bettor has won 102 of 116 resolved positions and is up $243,907.
They added $3,360 to an existing Cerundolo position, bringing their investment to about $11,360.
The new entry was 42¢, while the market currently prices Cerundolo around 40–41¢.

$3,360 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 90%

Proven bettor backs Cerundolo

A highly profitable bettor with 1,969 resolved positions and an 88% win rate has placed a fresh $3,990 bet on Cerundolo.

This bettor has won 88% of 1,969 resolved positions and is up $2.87 million.
They put $3,990 on Cerundolo at 42¢, despite the market pricing him as the underdog.
The wallet has traded across 567 events, showing a long-running record beyond this single match.

$3,990 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 88%

Proven serial trader backs Mensik

A highly profitable bettor with 2,907 resolved positions and a sustained cross-market record put $5,242 on Mensik at 58%.

This bettor has won 81% of 2,907 resolved bets and earned $6.68M in profit.
The serial cross-market trader has acted across 860 events and placed $5,242 on Mensik at 58¢.

$5,242 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 81%